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    Economic Forecast for US Economy for 2009 and Beyond.

    Well, SA, I agree with 2 out of 3 points you have written, and your conclusion about predictions. #2 however, I do not agree with. While it may happen, and lord help us if it does, I would not be surprised to see another round of dollar strengthening. The only reason the USD is so low at...
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    My longterm portfolio is down 36.36%

    I think that was fine advice for the last 30 years but if you go read ed easterling's book you can see that there are historically protracted periods of time when the s&p produces NO real return over 20 years or so. With average P/E ratios still in double digits and Tobin's Q somewhere near...
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    Does anybody trade FCOJ on ICE?

    Concur with above post on stops. Personally like orders that are on the edge of a range to establish a positon in OJ as the thinness can work for your favor in that respect. Then ok to scalp out for a few ticks if no major move. Looking with some criticality at OJ - isn't 50ish the longer...
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    Do you want Brandonf to teach you how to make a web business

    I'm curious as well to get a different perspective. I'm a fan of Tim Ferriss and have been thinking about doing some income diversification with such a product. Not sure if I'm late to the game, but my needs for income are not excessive, and like your friend has done can be reproduced across...
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    2009: The Bull Market in Gold

    I subsume myself to your superior wit and intellect. Since there is nothing I can teach you, I need not bother to explain. I resign; you have clearly won the argument. Please post your market calls for us to follow. They would be an excellent indicator, I'm sure.
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    2009: The Bull Market in Gold

    Well put, and I concur. IMHO the debt deflation and demand destruction issues are so significant that they are dwarfing the otherwise 'hyper' inflationary money supply growth as a result of TARP, bailouts, whatever. Print at 20% but destroy at 25% you are still down 5%. I am still...
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    CEF year end tax loss selling

    Just my opinion here but some of the CEF's are trading at attractive discounts and are showing signs of being slowly bid up and then smacked down hard again on smaller volume. Considering how much people have gotten crushed on these instruments can't blame them. However, only 2 more days for...
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    2009: The US Dollar, Oil, and the EURO....

    Bring back the DMK! Oh wait, the euro is a proxy for the DMK.
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    Christopher Cox Comes Out Swinging; Slams Bernanke And Paulson

    You're seriously kidding, right? All that's been happening around us has to do with excessive manipulation of the markets turning the game on its head and violating all the old rules, with new rules being made up by a select few (Cox included) on the fly with little transparency in advance...
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    Wall Street employees become farmers

    Ahhh.. now I know where he got his trading stake back from!
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    Merry Christmas Everyone!!!

    Merry Christmas to all... and to all a good night.
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    Fed in the market buying agencies

    So... which CMO's/CDO's and ABS's are we gonna buy in preparation? Full disclosure: Long RMA & RSF (CMO CEF's)
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    Tipping point for the downturn regarding the US economy.

    8/8/08 The opening ceremonies of the beijing olympics, and the same/next day invasion of Georgia by Russia. Thereafter, oil prices began not to hold their lofty reaches any more, and aside from a brief panic spike up, the oil bull was over. It transformed a consolidation into a collapse...
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    The only solution for homeowners: refinancing at 50 or 60 year mortgages?

    Well, encourages positive population growth, I presume. However, can the child legally remove themselves from the obligation to repay since when the assumed the debt they were under the age of majority?
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    AIG - the long term

    Without being glib, I seem to remember something about cutting your losses and letting your winners ride. Nice time of year for a tax loss, too.
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    Credir card debt --staggering

    EMRG- That's huge. Defaults on M.D. Student loans are near-zero. Unbelievable that that's happening. That's beyond huge. And hate to tell you this, but unless you have a $300K trust fund hanging around, you need those loans for med school. Fortunately, your fiancee has you, I presume!
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    Shopping Mall Traffic - post your experience

    Florida. 1. High end mall. Few discounts. Nobody buying. Few stores had major discounts but looked to be closing. Nobody carrying bags. Jewelers now beginning to discount - 20% off with no interest one year financing. 2. Outlet mall. Major apparel discounts - 50-75% but merchandise...
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    Japanese Preferred Shares

    Hey there - I don't easily have access to this info. Anyone here have experience with Japanese Preferreds over the last decade? Particularly the financials. Overall, how has their performance been?
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    He "madoff" like a bandit!

    Considering it seems he has preferentially screwed the american Jewish demographic, Israel might not be the safest place for him. Somebody's gotta have a brother in the Mossad. Paraguay sounds better. I think I posted earlier on him pulling a Ken Lay. Let's see if history repeats.
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    Magnitude of bond move with Dollar decline. Anyone smarter than me care to explain?..

    TKU for the complement. 1. FED intervening directly in markets has the psychological effect of inciting terror into the hearts of traders (particularly market makers). Many moons ago on the floor when the chief trader would scream out "feds in the market" you got ready for big moves. For...
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