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To add a bit mor insight in those trading decisions: I was expecting the market to pop up somewhat due to the week-end news. They were all pretty good at first sight: - China central Bank lowering reserve ratio requirement - No greek default But then again at a second look and...

>>Position Update<< Added another 600K, to the EUR/USD short @ 1.3225. Pos now: 1.5M short @ 1.32316 Current Price: 1.3225

Short EUR/USD. Reason for Trade: Overreaction and Stop driven up-move on low US-holiday volume Position: -900k @ 1.3234. (9'000 per 0.01) Current Price: 1.3236 Target: Looking for <1.32 Stop: time/price dependant, probably in the 1.329 region

Trade Open SPI (Australian Stock Index Future) on SNFE Position: Plenty of Shorts Reason for Trade: Looking for lower prices soon, as first reaction after weekend seems too big (considering jump in currencies - other markets closed due to us holidays... japan will open in 45 minuts) - a...

Alright, after some considerations i start a journal posting my discretionary trades in real-time (or near real-time). I won't tell much about me to begin with... Account is around 500k $, trading through IB. I trade a lot of different stuff, and i will post all futures, currency and...

There is a reason for a margin... Say, you were down to 500$ and market drops 20 points in an instance (or overnight in the short time period market is closed)... - don't tell me that never happens.... it happens, only very very rarely though... So now you would be down 10k, leaving you with...

GDP is in real terms, so nominal GDP growth might be more like 5%

June12 SSF last price 10.90$ ??? is that right... wow sick discount

there we go, stops just made it pop from 1175 to 1176.25

i guess we see 1180 within the next hour and some stops at 1175 helping

as far as news trading is concerned, in my experience this is close to impossible, there are always other guys faster than you and till you react (w/o algos) reading the news, making your conclusion, the market or say the algorithms already moved significant... But it's a very useful tools...

definitely highly illegal I use bloomberg, and it's 1900$ / month, with a 2 year minimum contract and half price buy-out if you want to step back from the contract. It's definitely not allowed to share a terminal... The software is fixed to a computer or to a keyboard/fingerprint in the...

yes, thats right, I'm just a big fan of bootstrap ;) i mean it may take 5 min to do it in excel and get a good idea of the underlying distribution (plot), while to calculate the conditionals you need a bit more practice... ie. how to use a statistics software.

Hey there, as always when we don't know much about the underlying pd the bootstrap approach suits pretty good. In your example you would simulate say 1000 realisations of 5 future days for each strategy, (that is out of your 5 realisations you randomly draw 5 with repetations, this...

scenario graph... not too bad, if transaction cost is very low

my words. depends on how many buy to flip in anticipation of a smaller than 8.50$ decline... we will see. i'll let you know wether i'm taking a position in there (still quite some time to go). cheers

more and more chips in mobile devices sold, less in traditional pc notebook business... intel only today bought infineon wireless to get (back) into this fast growing area

Alright, but there might be a tiny up-bias after the payout, as many indivuals may prefer selling before the ex date and buying back right afterwards in order to avoid being taxed the dividend.

well, if the dividend is just a regular dividend every thing is clear, and it will drop by +/- 8.50$. i don't know about us tax laws. i know that here in europe, for example in germany there is a special tax for this kind of corporate action. so the stock is not dropping the whole dividend...

is the expected fall really the whole 8.5$? i mean, is the us tax on such special dividends = 0 for investment banks and traders. Cause if not ie. if there's a 20% tax for example, you would expect the stock to drop only by 0.8*8.50 = 6.80$.