Search results

Both good points. Well, I do look at history, I'm not trading blind. My meaning, which I should have probably articulated better, is that after going from very simple strategies to more complicated (and possibly overoptimized) ones I backtested to death, trying to take into account a myriad...

I used to backtest a lot. My personal experience is that there are too many factors rendering backtesting invalid (the OP mentions some). Now I just focus on trying to 1) determine if we're trending or moving sideways; and 2) finding the sweet spot of prudent risk management where risk of...

If I may ask, what's your % tax on capital gains? AFAIK, you need to be making at least hundreds of thousands per year trading for it to be worth it (quality of life, personal circumstances and other considerations aside, just from a tax savings vs. cost of living perspective). My plan is to...

Try buying a car :D (in Singapore)

The beauty of it is that we could end the year at 7000 or 2000. IMHO, this year we'll probably touch both 4500 and 5800. When? Your guess is as good as (or better than) mine. Best trading to both (perma)bulls and (perma)bears.

I would advise a pinch of caution shorting Nvdia (I'm not talking about intraday, etc., I mean swing/long term, cost averaging, etc). Think of agricultural products. Some crops can be harvested multiple times per year, particularly in tropical countries or in greenhouses (think watermelons...

I would expect some extra volatility near the close, one way or the other, because you're not the only bear/bull who doesn't trust this market. So either a significant bounce to 5200 or the gap fill to the downside that Laissez Faire mentioned.

Carbon credits Still, 80% is an EV manufacturer https://fourweekmba.com/how-does-tesla-make-money/

JP Morgan is considering all scenarios between 2% and 8%, which (ballparking) would push 30-year mortgages to around 11-12%.

That's what doesn't feel "right" to me, if he was adjusting his risk from say 80M, all the way down to 55 (-25), what would have been the loss in % with constant risk? 80-90%? If so, then his previous "edge" was fictional/random. IMHO, he may have been doubling down or overriding his own risk...

Yep, NQ is already above yesterday's high, if today ES closes a bit higher, it's gonna start hitting stops like crazy. After yesterday's drop, today bulls be like:

Agile like a cat

But now is probably going to test the LOD

Stopped out on that spike? That sucks. Good call flipping short at 5200

Ballsy :thumbsup: I'm waiting to see what it does after the open, looking for a swing long in ZN and ZB

One tenth of a 1% higher inflation, not the end of the world I don't think this is the start of a bear market... but if we close up for the day, I'm changing my name to V-icaso :D

You have a fan :p, Schizo is gonna be jealous But I agree that your posts are good

Nice trade, @Laissez Faire. I particularly like how you reentered after being stopped out to the tick. Fixed 20 point target or some other rationale for your exit?

Still long?

Good call, where did it come from?