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  1. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Nah, I don't mean making or losing money. I had some good trades and many scratches this week, both on the way up and down, as usual. What I mean is that normally I have a good sense of whether we're trending or range-bound (then I make money or not based on my execution, timing, luck, etc.)...
  2. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Or maybe this is a CAPITAL V and we go up another 100 points :D I'm not reading well this market :(
  3. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    These couple of days are being kind of crazy, I've had to widen my stops and reduce size, otherwise I get stopped out even when I'm "right", so don't be too hard on yourself.
  4. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    70 points in one hour! IMHO bargain hunters in Tech, as Tesla, Nvidia, etc. hit 20% correcction point. But who knows
  5. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    OK. Do you enter sitting on the bid or hitting the ask on upward momentum?
  6. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    OK, we're *probably* oversold. But buy with what stop and target? If you're going to be taking 15 points of heat (so far), what's your target?
  7. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I'd say for now we're in sell the pop mode. No need to be a hero and buy the lowest tick if you want to go long, in this environment it may be better to wait for a green bar somewhere. Not investment advice, blah, blah, blah :D
  8. Picaso

    USD/JPY to the Moon

    OK, so I was dead wrong :banghead:
  9. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    When it comes to statistics, I trust you more than I trust myself. But Schizo said "more than 2%" ;) 21st February 2023 SP500 fell *exactly* 2%. https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/07/24/sp-500-slides-2-worst-day-since-2022-as-magnificent-7-sheds-almost-800-billion/ Then of course...
  10. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Do the "idiots" make money?
  11. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Actually I'm kind of relieved. Finally a normal bad day like in a normal market. How many people went long at that overnight gap? TESLA taking it in the chin balls -12%, Google not seeing yet the fruits of AI... people wondering if Nvidia will miss estimates or lower forecast... A normal bad...
  12. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    December 15, 2022 Only posting this because our resident statistician @Laissez Faire must be on holiday :D
  13. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Maybe. Or maybe we were overbought, people are taking profits off the table and we correct a bit more. Oh, and AFAIK the threshold for hyperinflation is ***50%***... ***monthly***. What's the rate now? 3% yearly? Come on...
  14. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Show-off... :D JK, congrats :fistbump:
  15. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Come on, you're a fearless bear! :strong:
  16. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    GOOG 7% up and down in minutes :D
  17. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    It's great to see that you've adapted to the changing market so quickly :thumbsup:
  18. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Good move
  19. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Ok, nicely seen. If I may ask you a question: what makes you go from V-fan to the sky is falling, everything has changed and back to the V lately?
  20. Picaso

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    We're up 0.5-0.8%. It doesn't have to be a red bar or a V, it can as well be a lateral range.
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