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He is playing just the iv, by doing so he ought to buy the at the money and reduce the cost of the position by selling the otm option. Implied volatility trading is pure speculation in my view.Essentially iv is what the participants think for the probability of a possible outcome(strike price)...

you should sell butterfly when you expect the iv to rise, same thing for ic selling a fly means you are buying the middle strike

:confused: you consider yourself a winner with these screenshots ?

Hey FXforex here is bullish idea for you I have found, you can also do it in aapl7 its a butterfly; 1 AAPL Dec 525 Call was purchased at 15.00, two 550 Call were sold for 7.00 each and then 1 AAPL 575 Call was bought for 3.00. The net cost for this trade is 4.00, which is also the maximum...

Where can I find a list of option strikes as a percentage of moneyness. Thanks

actually I might think of selling these as part of a vertical with 5 point spread the 540/545 credit spread, should I get filled at favorable prices. That will be like free money :)

You should have bought the Nov1 540 weekly option :)

a strategy that takes away the problem of timing is called buy and hold the underlying. in the options world there is no such thing

well after the fact, you now post your request for analysis. whats wrong with you ??

There must be some ETFs replicating that country main stock market index. Buy atm calls, but you need to be accurate about the time. I mean don't buy too early because you are going to pay much in time decay just waiting for the spike. Timing is important.

dude whats that math ... not only the options multiplier, but also what the 10 % otm put strike is.:eek:

I saw the thread on the home page and I knew it was you ... Will you post a snapshot of your tradeplatform where you traded this...

you twisted it... have a good day

what you care which force is greater. I trade options and I am more interested in the black scholes than only the stock movement itself.

lol why would he do such things... :)

yes thats what she said and since you'd be ''trading IV not direction'', why you mention that 90 percent of all options expire worthless all you write here is ridiculous lexi

I just post that,because I haven't seen such move for an option before. Ariad Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARIA)-NasdaqGS 5.41 Down 11.73(68.43%) ARIA Oct 2013 14.000 put (ARIA131019P00014000)-OPR 9.50 Up 9.35(6,233.33%) Look at this percent change :eek: someone participate here ?

Its about options vega. atm option always has a greater vega than otm or itm option. atm option shows the greater total point increase when volatility is raised in the model, while otm options show the greater percent increase. I prefer the total point increase, when vol rises buy the atm and...

IV exist only during the options life. So it does not have that much time to ''mean revert''

Do you have trading account by now? If so, post your first trades here, it will be nice watching what you are dealing with.