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Sorry, I meant the trade prints from all exchanges. Do they indicate which trades had a short sell when matched?

Does the exchange send out this data with their trade data? I took a look at trade conditions and don't see anything that differentiates SELL or SELL SHORT. But trade conditions are complex. Or does this data stay away from public view?

This one has already been fixed and only impacted those who used this particular bridge while the hack was active. It's important to keep in mind that no wallet was directly plundered. All these "crypto hacks" aren't going into people's wallets and taking tokens. You can protect yourself from...

Exchanges report trades with a nanosecond timestamp. Latency is not an issue when collecting the history of trade data.

If burry is long then something is brewing. Years before he did his "big short" he was known for drilling deep into details. He did not buy GEO on a whim. I have no position in GEO.

Tested more rigorously than a kid trying to get into an ivy league school.

Yes. They have an API that let's you write the rules to be as creative with your trading as you want.

It looks like they charge $1000/month to use their API. You still pay commissions, exchange fees, regulatory fees and other minor/usual brokerage fees on top of that. That extra $1000/month just to enter orders through the API sounds punitive. Makes me feel like I'm being bullied. What on...

Please. Who is your broker? lol. I just ask because IB has been playing games lately with marketable limit orders. I've shown them log files and the answer is simply, "we don't know. still researching it."

Who is your broker? What datacenter (region, availability zone, etc) did you run your trading software in?

Nope. That's not my model. lol.

No. I'm not seeking an emotional state. My message was simply a description of the forces at play.

Powell technically can't. That would cause high default rates and the banks would fail. It's just not the same as when Volker was pulling the levers. Remember that it's a collection of federal reserve member banks. They don't eat themselves.

When has the fed ever not responded to asset prices? They most certainly will respond.

Just to be clear, the video was about odds arbitrage. You can make money without predicting an outcome with any sort of certainty.

1) Please define "your model". I've designed many. Most don't work good enough to trade with. But a few do. And those run live every day the market is open. 2) How are you defining "are fairly efficient"? The answer is complex. If you know nothing about the underlying data then you might...

If the odds are a market rate and there are multiple markets, then yes, you can "beat the odds". You bet in each market where the participants have skewed the odds incorrectly based on the sizes and sides of their bets. You just look for pricing errors. This is also the winning strategy you...

This one is an expedited closed door meeting that falls under one of their special rules. They do not do this every month.

No. You can literally make your win rate (number of trades won / number of trades lost) whatever you want using math. I realize how counterintuitive this thinking is to beginners. But this fact does not do anything to turn the strategy into a profitable one.

It sure can but you don't know. Depends entirely on what positions they are holding, their leverage, who will rapidly unwind if they fail to make payments to a counterparty in a trade, etc.