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That! exactly how a person should view this or any forum. I like being stimulated to think of things I would not otherwise think about, there is some value here in my opinion. Let's say you thought everyone here is a loser, you can learn a lot about what not to do then.

nailed it by calling it within days of the low, lost on a long futures play and too close stops, not sure if he jumped back in but I assume so

yeah, and I saw a guy nail the 2009 low and still lost money

I agree market cap is high and this is a weird monetary era, BUT that doesn't mean it has to regress to the mean right now or even in the next 2 years. The analysis is true but what if this is just a temporary correction? latest GDP has us not even in recession anymore

LMAO home of the dumb money?

long ago I read an academic study on SPX, they did a correlation function approach and found market memory to be about 20 minutes. I have no opinion, just an interesting anecdote

nice work, right- being late to the party makes things hard, but so does being early. This set of circumstances is unique in our history, I am confused to say the least on SPX, energy makes sense as you say.

Right, be an information sponge but be able to sort it and synthesize something useful and actionable. Getting a true useful edge just be reading and asking here? I don't know, going to be stubborn and stick to being my own guru in my own system

yes and I don't even agree with 2, for instance just how are you supposed to know what you have to gain, unless you did a target order? It seems self- contradictory 5 is insanity in my opinion, I expect at least 50% of the time to be correct or why the hell enter in the first place

I was long going into fed, but got taken out. I am extremely nervous being long right now, even though December is statistically the best month of the year. Trivia- I heard one analyst say Oct.27 to Nov. 2 never has lost in something last the last 50 years, well we broke that record. I do like...

I knew that, I didn't say it because what exactly is the point? there is zero useful new information here with regard to the topic at hand

you have adopted the common technique of saying nothing, I saw what you said, no strawman

no they don't run counter to capitalism. It is the government and people like you who destroy the free market by demanding that any latest and greatest procedure or drug be a 'right' to people without money. Also people can say no, they do it all the time. Are you actually going to claim that...

sure but it really isn't complicated, the government funds it because the government wants it and so what? The government is a customer, the performer gets to charge what they generally want but there IS a negotiation and contract. Subsidies fail a lot too, the government is a terrible decision...

misleading as usual, and this is congress not the presidency the last time we had a big congressional red wave was 1994, and more importantly the policies shift that it caused released one of the largest rallies in stock market history

Huh? ES was limit down the night of trumps election, then skyrocketed after

The billionaires thing is hugely misleading, it is only because their stock price went up, it wasn't a direct transfer from government. You can blame stock traders for that, but why? All companies that get government money reap some benefits, so what? Is this just another anti-capitalist...

yes, and overvalued thanks to the fed, so maybe Powell actually wants a correction if nothing else

but aren't overall dividend yields low and market caps still too high? that is how I would value it as an investor in the overall market.

Monetary and fiscal policy are so important, and this is a new era. Things ARE different with no roadmap to make guesses from. If I had to make a guess then trend down next 6 months. potential factors on downside 1) Market cap to GDP is still high, as high as it was at the peak in 2000> QE...