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  1. punktrader

    The Commercial Real Estate Crisis that never happened..........

    This article is from two days ago https://www.seattletimes.com/business/the-commercial-real-estate-credit-crunch-theres-a-tsunami-coming/ “Compared with the savings and loans crisis and 2008, we’re still in the first or second innings” when it comes to troubled assets, said Rebel Cole, a...
  2. punktrader

    This guy says ai is unproven and effectively useless...

    LLMs are obviously not useless but this is the first month I can clearly see in my chatGPT chats that I did not use it enough to justify paying for it. I think like all bubbles, we have massively underestimated how huge this bubble has grown to while inside it. I remember waiting for Chinese...
  3. punktrader

    How can one define chart patterns such as Head & Shoulders?

    An image classifier would also give a confidence score in the prediction. You could also generate synthetic idealized versions of the chart patterns to include in the training data. I would say this is just a different, more probabilistic way to quantify the chart pattern. Trying to quantify...
  4. punktrader

    Do you guys ever get tired of me being right?

    It really is playing the hand face up to anyone who has traded for a long time. It is something someone says when they are surprised they are actually right. If you are use to and expect to be right on your trades then what is interesting is being wrong. I have a big ego as well but not...
  5. punktrader

    How can one define chart patterns such as Head & Shoulders?

    I tried to do this a long time and if anything it is a good exercise in seeing how loosely defined most chart patterns really are. Being older and hopefully wiser now, I think supervised learning and training an image classifier would be the way to go. That is going to be the closest to what...
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