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    61.8 % FR within the first 30 min bar revisited

    I've found that for trend days (2 or 3 days a week) the 24 hours data shows up the trend direction long before the open, and many times I've been open about 2 hours premarket and as a consequence increased my haul on the day by 3 or 4 points... Also I've had many occasions where I've take...
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    Fun with Fibbonacci Revisited

    I've been playing with Fib numbers for the last couple of days just out of interest and to give me something to do. If you look at the cash market, the picture is very much clearer, and the charts are much less cluttered. Also there is less overshoot. I've noticed many times that getting...
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    I just use the basic front end that comes with my feed - tenfore. And it's very basic indeed... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    LOL Hmmmmmm, I wonder which little bird told you that? :eek: Yes - I studied piano throughout my childhood... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    I just draw support and resistance lines and use those. Combining breaks through the lines with particular sequences of bars or candles that have a high probability of a particular result is often enough to take profits. I can track the movement either up or down just by drawing in extra...
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    Somewhere on page 22. The explanation of what I did that day is a few posts later or page 23 perhaps... I'll check back through my data and come back to you. Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    Take a look at the chart I posted and read the explanation. It's along the lines of what you seem to be thinking. Anyway, It's something I do often to find the entry point. I just don't think of it in those terms. That's one of the advantages of subdividing into smaller chunks like 15 mins as I...
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    Some time ago, I briefly used a method where I took yesterday's close on the FTSE Future and then calculated a range either side of it. I had observed (and collected a lot of statistics to support this) that the FTSE often gapped on the day and then later in the day would turn itself around. I...
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    That varies from person to person. Throughout this thread you will find various timeframes talked about and their use. Different people, different time frames. We're also starting to play around with the non-standard ones too... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    I'm interested in the 61.8% retracement you quoted. How do you come by this number as opposed to say 60% or 65% or whatever. Is there some sort of rule that this seems to follow? Yeah - Things rattle through this mind of mine and come out the other end all tangled, but in time they sort...
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    Agreed. I keep saying half the battle is to know when to walk away instead of getting into potentially loss making days and this was one of those occasions. I didn't like it so I went and did something else... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    A woman's work is never done! Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    I've been burned too many times in a drifting market that suddenly goes in the wrong direction quite strongly or never actually goes anywhere. So if it isn't really showing itself properly I prefer to do other things (Like today - talking with dear friends:) and catching up on housework.) Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    I stayed out. Didn't like the total lack of anything much for so long.... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    Indeed I do. I don't even have mechanical backtest systems and even if I did I'd only ever use them for the donkey work... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    Sorry if this isn't what you wanted, but right now, I've set up some audible alerts and I'm preparing something for dinner. (my desk is right by the kitchen) I'll come back to the PC when it screams at me that I've got a message or that something has happened... :) Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    You're welcome. I wonder how many other people are trying to code this right now and test it??? The problem is, you can't code intuition and experience of using a method, hence what you say, with a bit of brains the rate goes up. I think part of it is knowing when to walk away and do...
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    I'm not sure that I could find any - I went back to July.... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    That depends on the time frame for the bars. Right now I could sure use a truckload of continuous ES tick data in ascii format if anyone can supply it going back maybe 3 or 4 years. Any back testing I do is totally manual (by hand) I don't have the systems yet to do it mechanically... Natalie
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    The Importance of Simplicity

    You and I are doing essentially the same thing, but approaching it slightly differently. Can I ask a couple of questions? I'm wondering if you have methods for openings if the price is inside the first 1/2 hour range? Also, what kind of methods do you use later in the day for reversals...
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