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rallied pretty good after trying to find activity and wash out longs. I wonder what option IV's will do if we rally... IV feels expensive. rtrader, did u cover?

Tried to buy some lotto option spreads today in the juice but was told it wasn't going to happen. Was trying to buy 205/210 JAN 09 call spreads for a meager 5 pts but was told by my broker no one would sell that spread. Option px's settled there but guess that isn't relevant. I want to put on...

Bought a OJ Jan 09 160 call for 470pts. Global weather has been weird so why not. Last year I bought some call spreads, turned them into condors and watched them all expire worthless as Juice tanked. Anyone speculating in juice? I'll also try to buy some "lotto" call spreads in the higher...

Anyone have experience trading dairy futures and options? Trying to get some insight into pricing / executing deferred options.

how does buying a 1 week put option in nearby expiring March sound? I can't help but think the risk/reward in an OTM put could be fantastic if we get a reversal next week. problem is , how to fill and what to pay. Was thinking of 1600 Mar puts and bid 3.5c today but was unable. Pit settled...

Hi , I bought an August 88 put today for 110pts. I guess my rationale for being bearish on August Cattle is based on the following points: Cash bids today are around 88-89. I think the premium August has to spot values is too high. Even though I do believe that current cattle...

What are your calls on where we will see August Cattle by August option expiration? My bias would be to short Cattle going into summer but I don't have the facts on moisture reserves or how pasture condition may fare. Any views on where the back months go? Corn to push em higher?

this week's rally had more to do with worries of fluxo, a brazilian producer, getting killed on it's short hedges. the ICE had to issue a statement limiting the trading activities of fluxo. when the mkt smelled a short in trouble, they gunned the market.

getting married to trades... so foolish and arrogant.

sounds like bear spreading is the way to go.

any views on late summer cattle?

Anyone think that June Cattle might be a good short ? Recession talks, Cheap Pork, Ample supply of broilers and expensive cost of feed would lead me to believe that Fats are expensive. Also, with this mild winter I'm wondering not a lot of moisture build has been built into the ground and...

closed out of this yesterday at breakeven. really should have just put a bull call spread on two's and then if i really wanted to leg into the condor by selling the right wing into strength. lesson learned. KISS. i had a directional view; it was right, and the spread was not the right one.

Did they really trade as high as 105-25 ? Move looked suspect.

Is it true that in IB you can't excercise your in-the-money futures options on two's, ten's and 30's into an underlying futures position?

Did you employ option strategies regularly ? If so, any favorite spreads or structural strategies?

bought a 104.75/105.25/105.75/106.25 call condor in Mar 2 yrs. Paid 11/64. Any opinions, trade management, risk management observations? My thesis is that two's stay relatively well bid up here but unlikely to breakout to new highs. I expect 25 bps only of cuts thru March, with econ...

lots of views; but no comments? bleh

bought a 104.75/105.25/105.75/106.25 call condor in Mar 2 yrs. Paid 11/64. Any opinions, trade management, risk management observations? My thesis is that two's stay relatively well bid up here but unlikely to breakout to new highs. I expect 25 bps only of cuts thru March, with econ...

Pabst; so you see effective FF holding steady at 4.75? Would seem only logical for Fed to cut to 4.75 to bring target in lie with effective? I think I'll cover my Sep on Sunday.