Search results

  1. drcruz

    Any Traders in the Knoxville, TN area?

    @noom2020 - It's too bad the COVID thing is happening. Just before the lock down, I joined the Nashville stock trading meetup. Seems to be just as active as the IBD group in Chattanooga, but the one in Nashville had more 2-way discussion.
  2. drcruz

    Any Traders in the Knoxville, TN area?

    @noom2020 check your inbox
  3. drcruz

    Hey I'm also an options trader. Looking for like minded traders. I lean toward delta neutral...

    Hey I'm also an options trader. Looking for like minded traders. I lean toward delta neutral, positive theta options strategies. I am trying to dial in my overall trading strategy and I'm pretty close to getting it where I want. I am a member of Trading Dominion (was a member of Steady Options)...
  4. drcruz

    How do you optimize your edge?

    Sent you a PM
  5. drcruz

    Does trendline work?

    Yes, very subjective, no arguement
  6. drcruz

    Does trendline work?

    Especially during this current market, I'm waiting for an upward broken trendline
  7. drcruz

    Does trendline work?

    I don't believe drawing straight diagonal lines make money, only an identifiable edge can make money. Risk / money management will help you survive. Trendlines are just "my" aid in determining if a market is trending or consolidating, it helps me make a decision. If I'm wrong, so what, my money...
  8. drcruz

    Are options inherently a short-term trade?

    I had the hedge on and it cushioned the loss, also I closed it too early. My crystal ball wasn't working when I closed the position, it would have made more money if left open. The big loser was supposed to be self hedged as well, but it didn't work as well as I thought it would. Long story...
  9. drcruz

    Are options inherently a short-term trade?

    I got out with a 10% drawdown. My rules are, "if the market even smells funny, I'll take profits and close positions". One position was a leg in of 3 short puts, closed with a 1X loss - the cost of doing business. I'm waiting for the market to settle (close above the 50 day MA and starting to...
  10. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    Market is open, 01/06/20 closed above the 10 day MA and the of yesterday has been pierced. I've met my criteria so I will open a BWB today
  11. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    I will show some pix later, but a pop in volume does decrease the T-0 line, overtime theta really keeps the T-0 line stable. I have been analyzing the Fall of 2018, Betrix 2015, Volmageddon 2018 and I was amazed how stable the T-0 line is. I will add the test pics here. Part of the reason I've...
  12. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    Yes good guess and the win rate can be > 70%
  13. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    Yeah, I thought because I put these on for almost no money and sometimes for credit I counted myself as a premium seller. Also, when there is no contract at 180 DTE I will put on a small naked put and close out at 2 - 1x loss, but it's not my bread and butter
  14. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    Minor trend (violet) not pierced, looks like some buying taking place
  15. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    As of 10 am EST, I will be looking for today's close to see if I will enter tomorrow. Looking for a close above the 10 day MA (yellow line)
  16. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    There's a longer answer, but the driver's side of the steam roller is probably more like catching a train. And if I understand correctly, you only catch the train 35% of the time. If you have a schedule (good info, and good analysis skills) you may only catch the train 55% of the time. Both...
  17. drcruz

    How to pick up pennies in front of the /ES steam roller - 2020

    @El OchoCinco and @ironchef Oh, my bad. I did misunderstand :wtf: Sorry 'bout that
  18. drcruz

    Best option strategies to learn ....

    I'm okay with getting crap, someone here even called me a "f'cking idiot". I was okay with that, because I know I'm not the smartest dude here. Also, I believed it was a misunderstanding. But some other dude started asking me some real personal questions where the answers should have been pretty...
  19. drcruz

    Best option strategies to learn ....

    Couldn't figure out how to use fewer words
  20. drcruz

    Best option strategies to learn ....

    Yes, At this point I feel the trade is a loser and I'm minimizing the loss. But assuming deltas can be used as an estimate of percent ITM, then the original position had a 70% chance of success. If IV is overstated then the chance the position stays OTM maybe as high as 80%. So overtime and over...
Back
Top