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have you simulated what happens to your straddle if it just gots back up to thirty after earnings ? are you not completely toast if that happens?

Strong form efficient market theory... its stupid.... but I was justsaying the znga thing wasn't why the options were priced that way and they will be priced that way today

yeah.. well i kind of was thinking the same thing.. was all the pessimism just priced into the stock? whats the most unexpected thing that could happen? to me a big beat.. seems impossible with Znga as a huge part of its earnings and missing by so much.. Znga is a total pump and dump it seems...

It will still imply a 3 dollar 11 percent move tomorrow.. the jump down was unexpected.. it wasn't priced in

you mean when it actually moves.. i'm trying to come up with a butterfly & ratio backspreads for earnings that make sense.. i'm just having a hard time modeling the vol implosion on both options with the underlying at different strikes so i can pick the right freaking strikes.. the right degree...

the implied move is like 3.20 dollars.. implying a 11 percent move.. i'm thinking a three dollar wide butterfly ATM ... My intuition tells me nothing about this one.. i've heard though when vol is high sell. when vol is extremely high BUY.. but i just think there is to much baked into the...

your basically betting on the stock getting cut in half or something thereof with a trade like that..

pessmism just got priced in with znga blowing up/down whatever.. i'm guessing there not going to miss ... the implied vol on these weeklys are sick! i can't even believe it.. near 200..

ahh most people that are demeaing or insulting are miserable.. i know i'm an assh0-le.. haha kidding..

he probably doesn't even know..

yeah and look at me i went so far out of the money its sitting right at my bought strike.. i have the 65/60 weekly ratio backspread.. at this point i might actually realized my max loss on a ratio.. speak of the devil... not that i'm superstitious haha i've watched stocks that have short...

haha... you know to be honest.. the guy Peter Hoadley emails me back EVERY time i email him.. he might help you if you email him.. i never thought to use excel to actual trading.. when yo usay smoothly update last prices? are you providing liquidity or something? what are you doing

man I'm sure the inside syndicate of FB is secretly happy even though you don't think they are.. they ramped up the valuation for 2 years and dumped it in the private sector then now they have successfully dumped tons of shares at 38 to 27 .. to them the multibles they are selling at.. why...

i'm possibly your future ex "where are you now" ;) haha

i'm a total noob options trader... not selling anything

Aww you boys calm.down now

Holy crap that's a lot of options...

Not bad not bad!

Homeboys 580-600-620 fly is about to go in the money

Not clear to me. Sorry not trying to be a d6ick