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What I do I got started with mostly because of a big helping hint from atticus. Also got some good tips at one point from sellindexvol66. Involves net selling of VIX. First two days of the year: Mildly unprofitable (the loss is entirely attributable to myself, natch). Have to add to...

You're evil! He's got good teeth, anyway. Must mean something. :p

If the amount of ccy is steady while the amount of goods increases, then the ccy's value will increase relative to the amount of goods (and services). Bitcoin's absolute limit on how many are issued assures deflation in the context of an expanding economy. Vice versa if the economy contracts, of...

I'd say I'm speechless, but having been here before I know what kind of lunatics inhabit the basement of this site. Y'all do like Phil whatever-his-name and married your cousins when they were too young to know any better? Or was it your sister?

PLUG - only solvent through the middle of next year, by their own admission.

Eh, they've been trying & trying to pin something, anything, on Obama. And re Hillary, it'll be even more come 2016 since then they've got Obama + Clinton, or Republican BS squared; probably cubed is more likely. Al Qaeda was never needed to explain what happened in Libya, either in Benghazi...

1 - Keep your commish minimal. That means 2 things: not only finding a low cost platform, but also finding a low cost system. 2 - A low cost system will, almost by definition, be one that allows you to relax, because it protects you from overtrading. 3 - A relaxed trader makes money. A nervous...

I still look at this sometimes. Ackman is right, the company's a POS, but as long as he's in there or at least people think he's in, he's gonna get squeezed, looks like. Two stories on the actual reality of Herbalife: A few reasons to sell Herbalife...

Cause I already had 10 15/14 Dec put spreads sold, so closing out the 15s and opening the 16s was easiest. Just a little jelly on the toast for tomorrow's breakfast, I hope.

Just cuz I like youse guys, and I've executed the trade already :p here's a suggestion: sell the Dec 16/15 puts. Do it for the natural at .20 if you can't get the mid at .25. Found money. SOQ tomorrow isn't coming in under 15.75 in any scenario I can think of. Fed isn't saying anything until...

Look again. You had a nice pin bar in there a little after that alleged signal of yours (don't know what the candle folks call that) with a textbook run up after that. AFTER that run up (bet you were sweating bullets while that was happening too) it went down. You got lucky. Very lucky. Of...

Nice. Today would've really been good, but nice trade.

Are you not in really good shape today, or am I misunderstanding your trade (Dec/Jan)?

Interesting conversation here. Only thing I'm doing in Dec now that has any value at all is selling puts: I have ten 15/14 Dec put spreads sold. Not looking good right now, but if VIX moves up on angst over the Fed stmt it might do something for me. Else, long Jan, short Feb & Mar (which I...

Another woman who can't keep a secret. Wotta surprise. Sweat it not. If you shut up for a while, this thread will drop off and never be heard from again. I'll take the other side of that trade, though; just trading the probabilities.

Thanks!

Not this way. My logic, such as it is, is that the front moves more, so it's a decent hedge. Did a ton of empirical research, and what emerged is that, for whatever reason (actually I think I have the reason down, but that's another story entirely), the third month provides a reasonably steady...

Yeah, I buy 1st & 2nd months, then start shorting from 3rd on. Suffered when the curve was steepening a couple weeks back, with front declining while back was rising, but all better now. I'm realizing more and more I have to watch the VXV/VIX ratio to get a good handle on when to do this and...

You talking about the Feb/Mar spread? It's .70 now, so any sort of curve steepening would make it .80. Pretty easy IMO, since Feb is the 3rd month, and that's what I love to short. (Me and I'm sure a buncha other smart alecks.) …and it widened to .75 as I typed this...

Long as I'm here, these colors are weird. Haven't been here for a long while. I guess Baron finally changed the place around a bit.