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"Hedging strategy" seems to consist of running to the board to crow about about being on the right side of a big move, only to have the move reverse in the space of a couple of hours, and then say you were just hedging. :p

Sounds like a bell being rung for the mini-bear market in commodities.

Does the ECB include a statement like the Fed does? Since everyone knows they are raising rates, the only suprise could be a statement saying this is one and one or a statement saying additonal rate hikes will be necessary. Obviously, the first statement would ignite a rally in the dollar...

Given that a lot of risk spreads have significantly narrowed since mid-March, has the Fed made money on that $30 billion in MBS it took on its books from Bear Stearns?

I can't even open TWS on my computer. IB's website is down as well.:(

Brocklanders ... greatest handle ever. Can I change my handle to ChestRockwell?:D

So much for that theory.:mad: On to the next trade.:cool:

Markets have "known" the number all week ... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=123803

^^^ I hear you. However, I'm a big believer that in certain key months, "the market" knows the number ahead of time. Its the only way I can explain the destruction in Treasuries this week. I've seen it happen a number of times. Most recently, in the week leading up to the October report...

Avg trade guess is about -60K w/5% unemployment rate. As a firm believer in the fact that the news follows the price action, I'm guessing the number prints positive and the unemployment rate retains its 4 handle. 2 year Treasuries got seriously hammered this week despite Bernanke's gloomy...

Just checked out a chart of BP/JPY vs SP500 and they are almost exactly correlated! Here I thought I was being a genius being short this pair for the past few months, when all I was doing was making a US stock market call (which is a loser's game). What is the reason for this? Is it that...

I think Rick Santelli said this a few weeks back ... "why not just cut FF to 0% w/a tightening bias":p

Dollar is up against Cable tonight. Is this just due to various crosses being played or is Cable also doomed.

I understand currencies and markets, but not from the technical perspective and quick trading that most on this thread do. Could you please explain what the above means and why its a contrary signal? Thanks!

Just a question because you seem pretty active trading grains ... since corn is so expensive and so much of it is being used for fuel instead of animal feed, I wouid assume the traditional users of cheap corn - pig farmers - are getting squeezed right now. Wouldn't this be bullish for the...

Question from a newbie (at least in currencies) here ... on what exchange is the BP/JY actively traded? I use interactive brokers and am unable to even get a quote for this contact on globex. Thanks.

Doesn't square w/what is happening. Housing slump is 2 years old and residential rental occupancy rates and rents are both rising nicely during that time in my area (Phila. burbs). The rental market was relatively weak in 03 and 04. Why? Well, why rent when you had to come up w/first...

Disagree, Foreclosures also put a lot of folks back into the rental market. The rental market has been very strong for the last year. I haven't seen rent increases of 12-18%, more in the high single digit range. But that's outstanding.

Oct/Sept spread right now is .05. Probably can't go lower than 0, yet could go a heck of a lot higher. ... just a thought.

Where in Phila? I own a bit of property in the area and those seem like steep increases, unless the rents were low to begin with.