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  1. S

    What is the difference between traders using TA and tapereading?

    Tape reader is like mind reader. Probably it is some term invented to help sell consulting services.
  2. S

    How to Back Test the ES Emini

    Look for TradingBlox.
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    How do you cut losses?

    A common sense way of cutting losses is by increasing your win rate by identifying high expectancy signals. In the theoretical limit that you reach 100% win rate your close position losses are exactly zero. This short article by an expert offers a good argument for maximizing win rate...
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    What are the must read books on day trading?

    Daytraders are involved in a suckers game. Position traders can be profitable.
  5. S

    Creating software to predict stock markets

    Why are you reivnenting the wheel? I just want to know the decision behind that. There are tons of web based backtesters, stand-along programs and so on.
  6. S

    Creating software to predict stock markets

    You can start here. But keep in mind this software market is crowded area. There are also some good data-mining applications for traders. Price Action Lab is a popular one for calculating probabilities of stocks.
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    In need of a black swan event

    Greed is the enemy of logic.
  8. S

    In need of a black swan event

    Right!
  9. S

    Why do more than 90% of traders lose?

    First part of post is brilliant. The part about day trading is not. Your broker is daytrading against you and so is every algo and HFT. You are not doing anything unique. The odds is with the algos.
  10. S

    S and P 500 Death Cross

    Twice is curve-fitting. You can always find some cross to fit any two tops. Website name says it all:)
  11. S

    candlestick or chart pattern work?

    Good program. This is an example of scanning ETFs.
  12. S

    Difference between Over Ftting and Optimization to Current Environment

    Good question. Random will break down sooner in most cases.
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    Ascending vs Descending triangles

    Useless... no value... debunked long ago...
  14. S

    Jim Cramer doesn’t beat the market

    No one beats the market but only with survivorship bias.
  15. S

    Here is a strategy that beats the S&P

    A crossover of 50 ma and 200 ma beats S&P 500 total return big time. Can you trade it? This is the question.
  16. S

    Difference between Over Ftting and Optimization to Current Environment

    Very good article here: "strategies fail because of many reasons. Below are the three most common: The strategy was random to start with The edge was arbitraged out A change in market conditions occurred" Curve-fitting to current environment sets the stage for the next drawdown when the...
  17. S

    Support and Resistance is Random

    This article shows why intraday ES traders without a verified edge will lose.
  18. S

    The TREND is your friend.. The biggest lie ever!

    This is not the only insanity in trading. Intraday trends are random, long daily trends are due to deterministic component. In stocks due to dividend payouts and rebalancing of indexes.
  19. S

    Small Patterns versus Big Patterns

    Good luck to you.
  20. S

    candlestick or chart pattern work?

    If you are able to extract the signal from the noise, then every method is OK. It is just that some methods have more noise.
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