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  1. J

    Even with inflation in 1970. It only took 1 worker

    Basically, the world got a hell of a lot more competitive in the past 30 years. When Deng Xiaoping (spelling?) decided to open China up to the world, the fate of a large swath of the American middle class was sealed. You can pin the blame on the Fed too, for artificaly distorting the economy...
  2. J

    they dumped silver in 2008

    Well, I'm thinking silver and gold are heading down for a while....there's a massive dollar shortage out there and USD should appreciate significantly against EUR, JPY, GBP, etc. in the coming months. This should drag the metals with it, and since silver crashes hard when it heads down that's...
  3. J

    How to buy gold and silver coins

    tulving.com
  4. J

    Eastern Europe economic imlosion could drag EUR zone into depression

    I was thinking of heading to Bulgaria and Romania in April with my girlfriend....wonder if I should go someplace else...no need to dodge stone-throwing protesters.
  5. J

    A Must Read By Conservative David Brooks: 'The Worst-Case Scenario'

    How is that the "worst-case" scenario? Seems more or less to be a scenario I would attach a decent probability to. There are certainly far worse outcomes.
  6. J

    How Long Will China Indirectly Finance Its Own Exports Via US Debt Purchases ?

    China may finance the U.S. for another 2-3 decades....long enough to build their own consumer class. They are still poor, and their gov't has no clue what is happening right now. U.S. Treasury bonds could perform very well for another 5-10 years. Inflation may be much further away than most...
  7. J

    Save capitalism from the banks - Nassim Taleb

    Anaconda is the only person on here who is making sense. You people should all read the book "Mystery of Banking" by Murray Rothbard to understand what a free market in banking truly looks like. We haven't ever had one....although prior to 1913 we had something closer to it. In a true...
  8. J

    Merrill Lynch States Some Wealthiest Clients Insisting On Delivery Of Physical Gold

    Timeframe is everything. Instead of your 25% cumulative loss, if you bought in 1971 (at $35) and still hold today ($800), you would have an 8.8% compound annual return. Every market (stocks, bonds, etc) goes to sleep for secular, 20+ year bear markets, then wakes up to go higher than people...
  9. J

    Strange Silver action

    i heard that ted butler just offed himself, lol
  10. J

    The case for deflation

    I concur that the charts (and the fundamentals) point to near-medium term deflation (probably for the next couple of years). Of course, long-term every currency in history has been inflated to nothingness. Every chart is pointing toward delation right now. Landis82, I'm one of the few...
  11. J

    Corn Crash!

    you seem to have a wealth of knowledge about the grains ProfLogic. I take it you are (were?) a farmer to boot. looks like the market is at a potential decision point. we've had a pull-back from the highs, so it could be set to blast off to $7, which you seem to have laid the fundamental...
  12. J

    Corn Crash!

    Hi guys, I pulled charts of corn in '96 and '04 and the current action is very similar. Based on those charts, corn just topped and is heading for $4.50... this is 100% technical and I don't follow the fundamental details of corn. Wondering if anyone else sees the same thing. Austin
  13. J

    $ Silver $

    just after midnight EST, the evil commercial shorts tried to push silver below the friday low...looks like the market has rejected the attempt. i'm starting to sound like ted butler, lol. looks like i'm getting sucked into the 'silver fundamentalist' camp.
  14. J

    $ Silver $

    you don't have to be a silver bug to buy here...looks like a good trade to go long with a stop at or near the 12.30 low in Dec Silver.
  15. J

    Wheat Limit Up AGAIN (+60 cents)

    i thought the daily price limit was 30 cents? how is it up 60?
  16. J

    Coffee

    Anyone still holding long positions? I have my measly 2 IKC-H8 contracts, which I'm rolling to May soon...
  17. J

    So what is the next bubble?

    CleanTech -- too much hype about alternative energy start-ups. 10 out of the 1000 start-ups will make it. I see CleanTech fund-of-funds being pitched by the private equity industry every day at work. It's a bubble in the making.
  18. J

    February Gold (ZGG8)

    March never got to 920; it got to a little over 917. Also, no one trades March, it's very illiquid. Open interest rolls from Feb to Apr so it's stupid to quote Mar futures to begin with.
  19. J

    Do you make money trading for a living?

    Hi I lost money trading and got a day job. Since then I have lost more money trading but am not worried about buying food or paying for gas anymore.
  20. J

    Coffee

    I'm with Buy1Sell2 on this. The price could be above 200 in a year and a half. Unlike all of those price spikes above 200 on a 40 year chart, this move has both supply and demand factors in its favor. Those previous spikes were primarily due to frosts/weather related. Plus right now...
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