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No, because I have not back tested that much. My trading method has a built in reward/risk ratio of about 3:1. I'll back test further. I'll back test to 500 occurrences.

You may end up being right.

I do miss trades now and then. Of course, the ones I miss are the ones which end up making the highest return. I guess when I said before that my confidence was unshaken I meant unshaken in the fact that I do not doubt whether or not I can succeed ultimately. I am not, however, that...

I trade pin bars as a reversal. I have attempted to filter out the pin bars that fail from the pin bars that lead to reversals. My filter is based on ATR and surrounding bars. I guess in a way I am trading swings intraday. My time frames range from 15min to 4hour. I have been...

Bau250, How do you know it is any more or less manipulated than any other time? I am in no way saying that I doubt that you know. I would just like to understand about how to know when these extremes occur. The thought has occurred to me to use some sort of a filter to gauge when the...

Visaria, I bought the Kindle version and I am starting it now. Yes, I believe my number one problem is not my 'system' or my 'edge', but my own psychology surrounding it. Thanks

Point taken. Thanks

That was funny!

Oh. Ok. Well, the shoe sales and window washing statement was a joke. I am not sure if there are 'qualifications' for being a trader. I think we can all think of examples from life where PhDs make it trading and also fail at trading. I would estimate that there are people with GEDs that...

Hmmm. I guess I don't understand. Could you explain?

Owning a grain elevator was merely how I got started in trading. I only did that for a few years. I have done other things too...like sell shoes and wash windows.

Thanks I will take a look.

Visaria, I just bought it on Kindle. I am reading it now. Thanks.

Almost without fail my initial trade it profitable. Sometimes only a point sometimes several points. I think back in the late 90's when I made big returns I had big winning trades. So, having been conditioned to those huge wins I expect to see them now and I let my profits slip by. I had...

That was funny. That certainly seems to be happening with me. I guess when I say "My confidence is not shaken" I mean I still 100% believe I can do this. Part of what I know is that my psychology is killing me and I know it is going to be a challenge to overcome. Frankly, there is a...

I am new to trading, but I am not at the same time. I got my start in hedging for a grain elevator that I owned back in the mid 1990's. In all I have traded off and on for 20 years. I have had big runs of success and failure. I have consistently traded commodities. Lately only the ES...