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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    No problem. Thanks, Art, for your thoughts. And thanks Wolf for doing the analysis. But you did present the different combinations as having "profits" of X%, with specific drawdowns, etc, like they could be viable systems. Sorry if I got that wrong. All I can see is that you re-arranged...
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    Long Synthetic Straddles

    There may be some truth to what they say, but this is similar to kind of a "one-sided" straddle or gamma scalping method. To survive the huge theta losses, you are going to need lots of movement - either big moves down or up, or lots of little moves to try and scalp dimes. What will happen...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

    I also appreciate Art showing us his trading stuff, but I'm not convinced you proved anything, other than perhaps proving that his rules don't work as well as buy and hold? I'm not trying to knock your work, just trying to get a handle on how it, and Art's rules, can be helpful. You showed...
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    Jokes

    What's the difference between... What's the difference between a midget magician and a female track star? The midget magician is a cunning little runt. ---------------------------------------- And, the difference between little fish in the fountains in the park and the big horned...
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    refco + naked shorts

    I was thinking the same thing: flytiger = "bob o'brien"
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    System Development with acrary

    Thanks for showing us this stuff, acrary. :cool: Good trading to all. C
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    Refco shares plunged 45%

    Yikes! Just gets better n better... I was wondering how he came up with $430 mil so fast. Most ppl don't have that kind of scratch laying around the house. Well...I do, of course...there's probably enuf under my couch cushions...(well 43 cents of it, anyway) :D
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    Working automated system with backtesting

    Jimmy, A couple questions may help others see if they want to collaborate: 1. What is your execution system programmed in? 2. Does it go through a broker API, FIX, or custom I/F? 3. Who is your broker? TIA C
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    Prudential shutters TA dept and......

    Cramer could borrow Joe Bat's clown suit. Especially when he's screaming and sputtering about his great "Cramer Tech Rally"! :p
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    Refco Account Security

    Would be pretty funny, well, not funny to the people that lost money. But interesting that, 7 years later, Niederhofer's '98 wipeout would help bring down Refco...
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    My Options Play

    My point was, that if you had started with the PEET trade you would have lost 50% in 1 day. Then the other trades might have been tough to do? What if you had two "PEETS" in a row? JMHO from being a "small" trader, but risking about $9K on a trade, with a "starting" account of $10K (or...
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    My Options Play

    Well...I have a decent sized account and it still seems like a lot to me. And it is about 1/2 of your $10K... But tomorrow IS another day. Good luck! C
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    My Options Play

    Now 1 X 1.20 = -$4,800 Ouch! :( Good luck. These short term op plays are tough...
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    A Tale of Two Posts

    My theory for the very uneven moderation, is that we are talking about unpaid "jobs" here. Traders(?) with a little extra time are helping Baron out. I suspect there are very few guidelines, beyond outright spam and porn (up to interpretation) and these people operate completely on their...
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    My Options Play

    More specifically, why PEET? Looks sort of "cup and handle"ish to my (very) amateurish T/A eye (I don't use T/A, just price/stats data)? Or is it the WSJ article? Good luck on your $9K bet! (BTW, I see 42 contracts traded on the Oct 30s, so looks like Multi really is a trader :) ) C
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    i need help please!

    Uh oh. That is f*cked up. I'd send it, but I have a very shitty satellite ISP. It would take hours and probably mess up in the middle any way. Maybe you can try and remove all the old Java and TWS and do a complete clean install? Just grasping here. It all sounds like a pain in the...
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    Refco- RFX

    No big deal. It was a "loan"! :p
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    i need help please!

    Back when I used to use the browser-based TWS, it would occasionally fail to download. Usually going to the Java control panel and clearing the cache would fix the problem. Also, slower internet connections would frequently time out or whatever and also fail. Haven't had any of these...
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    C++, Visual C++ 6, Visual C++.net, C#

    Maybe, but when I started I learned IBM System 360/370, PDP-11, 8080, 8085, Z80, 8X51, 8086, 6800 and 68000 assembler/machine language. Where are they now? Okay, the INTC and MOT derivations are still around, but I haven't done assembler in 10 years. CPUs are so fast nowadayz, higher level...
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    IB is down?

    FWIW I upgraded to the new desktop TWS - kept the same Java and API - and I haven't seen any problems with my auto-trader system. There are a couple new messages that show up in the Message Events and say something like "USA Server Farm Connection Okay" and "USA Futures Okay". Other than...
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