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  1. M

    Short DAX at 7740

    it will come off a bit so can load too :)
  2. M

    Debt Ceiling and Default

    thalts a pile of bs. as gold is money and with digging new gold out of earth you create new debt ? Nope, you are diluting value of existing obligations.
  3. M

    LNKD to drop 50% this week

    if they attract enough shorts can make money with manipulation of price only :D Say 3M total shorts means 3M for each $ of profits for them. Price to 150, means they made extra 120M profit. And here you go. Price is justified :D :D :D
  4. M

    Short CHF vs. Short Gold?

    i think snb is happy. They making money big time. Average price 1.65 now 1.15. They try to hide the fact that it was done deliberately. Thats why some halfhearted intervention 140 to 150 area. I think decline will stop when debts are repaid, which is probably many years away or when enough...
  5. M

    Short CHF vs. Short Gold?

    CHF loans not necessary issued by CHF banks. Ask japanese. It was a trap for young players. New caqpitalists unaware of the traps. Well prepared in advance by swiss. Same thing happened in AUDJPY in '80 i think as people took JPY loans. Thats why crisis now in AU not as severe as...
  6. M

    Wouldn't a debt default cause stocks to rally?

    if russians were allowed to do it, why not us ?!? Look how russia progressed since. Moscow most billionaires ! true, us claimed cold war wictory. Words & glory are cheap. But had to swallow large losses. I think it will happen.
  7. M

    Australian housing bubble thread

    eurchf in 1.15ish supports it. did i feel breath of depression ? there is no reason for eurchf to recover as inflow in chf are constant due to large anmount of debt in chf. History any guide. Eurchf has a long way to go down. usdjpy below 80 for same reasons. :eek: :eek: dont...
  8. M

    How did you come across your edge? Accident? Refinement of an idea? Taught?

    hard work, trading across all the instruments and timeframes, beeing beaten numerous times, several winning streaks, and then final hit in shape of large loss - 5% of NAV, got me to accept the reality and look in the right direction.
  9. M

    Market will probably rally on Thursday because Moody "May" cut the US bond rating

    i think his statement is valid. He is saying future order flow on buy side will increase because of participant psychology. One could say this are technicals. Or even fundamentals in some ways.
  10. M

    50k to 500K in 10 (ten) trades

    I was fooled last week with strenght of the rally and was looking only for continuation. Turned out false. Cycles do not support immediate recovery. Downside is back. My debt indicator EURCHF supports that as reached new all time low. eurjpy also same direction. There is possible...
  11. M

    50k to 500K in 10 (ten) trades

    magic strength of aud. AUD stocks tanked 1.5% yet aud keeping strong. Chinese look genuinely worried about US default. Sure they have good intelligence so odds of that happening are higher than market thinks. if this happens... then oblifgation of us against others will be nullified...
  12. M

    50k to 500K in 10 (ten) trades

    EURAUD clear trendline break on weekly chart. gold etc up on bad friday data, suggesting more stimulation expected by markets. Looking for buy signal.
  13. M

    50k to 500K in 10 (ten) trades

    now back to work. my next posting will be trade entry. Plan: if shorterm single entry, else will try adding after initial positive feedback.
  14. M

    What realistic annual % return you expect?

    my approach: every trade is different and I am looking for 100% win rate. Key is to be motivated so bet has to be appropriate size.
  15. M

    m22au's journal

    I happen to be in spain italy greece croatia, etc just before gfc. I am surprised pigs are italy greece spain. People seem to live there sustainably. Not so in croatia slovenia czech where i would expect the crisis based on what i saw.
  16. M

    m22au's journal

    regarding eu situation... there may be cute surprising baby pigs jumping out at any time. Read the other day commnets from german official that slovenia is just like greece and needs austerity measures. and i am sure that there is more. anywhere property prices are irrationaly high for no...
  17. M

    Trading the US debt ceiling event.

    it has been nicely imprinted in brain and reinforced this week with greek story. internet bunch is convinced its one way streret from here. Shorts are on horizon.
  18. M

    Trading the US debt ceiling event.

    i'll go with that. thinking about it, what would be the effect ? would usds go down or up ? Gold ? markets down i guess.
  19. M

    WTF!!!! MORE FREE money to struggling "homeowners"!!!!!!

    what about china ? it is us vs china. chinese playing bubble us can t afford to stay behind. if they did, chinese would take even greater lead. It is game - who will drop dead first.
  20. M

    Statistic Shows this Market has leg!

    thats a trap for all internet bubble fricks. they think good times are back. shorts will work like a charm while they bleed out :D :D
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