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..."This time around all of these instruments will move to the downside during such a violation and the only instrument of reasonable safety will be your traditional savings account at the bank. "... NOT A USA bank my friend. Have some CASH in EURO, GBP, AUD Bonds. 30% is USA bank...

TOLD YA SO...JULY/SEPT Losing months...

ALL YOU NEED FOR A CRASH IS HAPPENING... Extreme bullishness.. 1929, 1987, 2007 (TBA) http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=94844

Well two of those quoted are Java based, they run on anything...

Well calling a top or bottom, is a losers game. TRUE But being aware of the elevated risk is not foolish, and adjusting portfolios for defensive reasons is not. Either adjusting or liquidating positions depends upon how much leverage one has, does it not! Signing off..

Another view that's interesting...this is from a free email news letter www.capitalmultiplier.com

Well yes when you have a rally thats equal to 30% or so, a 10% correction is a serious level of proit taking, its not a trend change. But this time with massive leverage out there and tight debt gearing ratios and 10% correction could fall into a more serious plunge. My question is, does...

Well looks like I am attracting immature 20 somethings with 10k in market, just after the made the decision that the USA housing is in a boom. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, ..then its a duck...

Yip..they base there judgement on instinct, gut feel, etc I am saying, expect profit taking soon, that's all. The risk is what will this profit taking lead to. And why do you need to swear..are you an idiot that has trouble expressing your views.

Please view the word doc... Here are 4 reasons why funds may start taking profits in the USA summer. This may innocently start a deeper correction that could get ugly. With the massive leverage in the market a 10% correction will have the same effect on fund managers psyhce as a 30%...

.."The 1929 crash involved some horrendous over leveraging."... Yes ...I think was 20:1 in a stock account. Or 5% equity, and 95% debt.

here is the jpeg

This vertical...reminds me of gold doing the same thing earlier on this year...it will reverse, wont that be a mess... All those first time stock traders will get a shock in china...

http://video.msn.com/v/us/money.htm?g=ED9EF52B-F879-49F7-BF4E-118513976B0B&f=&fg=copy How can I get some...for my lifestyle ... A mess is coming 1998.. LTMC again...

Sooner or later the smart thing to do is slow down or stop the asset price explosion. DEBT levels are way to high...

China BULL Stock market is made up of first timmers trading in a capitalsitic stock market environment. There newbies ! A 1,000,000 plus new accounts trading stocks every year or month ( cant remember ). When this crowd goes for the gate, watch out !!!

Yea Right... http://www.bls.gov/web/cesbd.htm Largest Single positive adjustment on record http://www.bls.gov/ces/cesbdhst.htm The jobs number in May 07 was most likely negative... June July will confirm the job market is week, contruction layoffs will send number down. - Jobs...

.."f , and it is a huge if, there is a similar situation to LTCM and the Russian devaluation then you sell as much dollar yen, eur chf and stg yen as you can. "... SELL USDEUR or BUY EURUSD ??? Is this what you mean ???

So GBP or EUR, I understand EUR as not been in the carry trade as much.

http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSN0234192420070502?src=050207_1334_INVESTING_comment_n_analysis I dont know the Hedge Fund forex demonination of the hedge funds investment base. But if LTCM of 1998 happens again...this was on 3.6 BN, now we have 1.4 Trillion. What currency is...