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Why wouldn’t the stock be traded before the deal finally closes? Anything can happen between the deal agreement and the final deal close. It’s like a contract for selling a house. Does every sale go through? I have personally seen many house sales fell through due to various reasons.

The deal will take some time (6 months - 1 year) to close. Before it finally closes anything can happen. Haven’t you seen some past deals fell through before?

When the deal goes through if it does, you will get $54/share in cash. If not you will still have the stocks at whatever the market price.

Whatever you can think of the market already factored in. No free/easy money is the ultimate motto in the financial market.

I think the key is not to predict but to feel for it while it actually happens. It doesn’t have to be from the beginning of the trading day, often times you realize it in the middle of the day, like a light bulb going off in your brain. Better yet, these kind of 10% big trend days happen in...

I know. But if one can do it just a little better then it would be a huge edge. Perhaps that should be the primary focus of trading, at least for amateurs, instead of attempting to trade the other 90% time where there’s no chance of a true edge.

Haha, safe stocks are safe until they are not.

I have watched many Fed days. Most of them were very volatile and unpredictable with big swings. My point is regardless of the cause or lack thereof if we can identify a big trend day consistently it’s an edge.

Let’s just cool off. Ken posted one day of big win. I think it’s ok as long as we can all learn from it. My take is that it’s one of those 10% good trading days and if we can identify it consistently it would be a true edge.

Yes, if you let inflation go uncontrolled and don’t do anything, i.e., raise interest rate, economy won’t be hurt and may still go up. The question is can the US do this?

Uncontrollable events…….you know nothing good will come out of it.

Yes, there are 2 opposing factors. Hard to say which one will win out.

But it still can go further before a meaningful correction. In addition, if inflation continues to go up the house market will stay elevated as a hedge against inflation. Anything can happen in the stock market and the housing market.

Sort of. Just wait to see how inflation goes. If it won’t come under control the Fed and the economy and the housing market are in deep trouble.

My biggest fear is Fed will be forced to raise interest rate quickly.

Fed can do whatever it wants to do. However, the limit comes when something is out of control, such as the current inflation. The worst situation is Fed is forced to do something it doesn’t want to do, like increasing interest rate. It’s kinda akin to having to sell your house during a housing...

I only do day trading on the 2-min chart.

Yes, the key is how good your edge is. I see it as an ever improving process. For example, after 10 years of watching the market I can see the market relatively well for 10% of the time. In the future, it will grow to 20% and so on. I agree the risk management and discipline are just basic and...

If you have proper risk management and discipline you should be profitable. That’s an example of the trading edge, so to speak. The profitable scheme may be 8 small losses and 2 big wins. Even though the win rate is only 20% but the combination of good risk mgmt and a true edge will make an...

I have been watching the market for 10 years. The 10% time on avg. is always there. I would say now is more like 20-30% time period due to the market volatility. Also, per the fractal nature of the stock market every day there’s a 10% time of easy trading on average. The question is whether one...