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  1. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    what 35 point rally we still ended the day down
  2. J

    why are people piling into US notes?

    well for them its not the debt thats the issue, its the deflation.... if we get deflation, then anyone piling into long term notes is going to be right and get rewarded.
  3. J

    why are people piling into US notes?

    yes PICO is the dividing line in a big way, actually north of pico by one block.... West LA real estate is holding up very well. If its down at all, I would say 5% from the peak. It's being driven up by 2 things 1) large investment coming into century city 2) gas prices, west LA is the...
  4. J

    why are people piling into US notes?

    I understand flight to quality, which we have seen may times over the last 12 months.... But this time around: 1) inflation worldwide has gone insane 2) the very backer of those notes, the USgovt, is currently under scrutiny by taking on the weight of Fannie, Freddie and other failing...
  5. J

    Housing Rolling Along 2

    hehehe that looks like al gores chart
  6. J

    This is what a 'bank run' looks like...

    so the key is that you need multiple social security numbers, one per account? that will get you FDIC insurance, 100%? gotta say im kind of confused myself I have a business banking account, with 6 sub accounts, each account has close to $100k in them (just by chance), but all 6 are in...
  7. J

    This is what a 'bank run' looks like...

    even ferraris are dropping? has it gotten to the point where you can walk into a ferrari dealer, and buy new with no waiting list, and pay sticker or less?
  8. J

    This is what a 'bank run' looks like...

    jeez the police car is so colorful it looks like a pez dispenser
  9. J

    This is what a 'bank run' looks like...

    FDIC insurance confuses me is it 100 000 per different account name? or 100 000 per account ? would "robert clark" be covered?
  10. J

    90 Banks on FDIC's problem watch list

    wow the shorts have already dug in deep to those 4. EWBC looks the least shorted of the 4, but still 20% of its 52 week high Ouch.
  11. J

    90 Banks on FDIC's problem watch list

    maybe someone on this site can backwards engineer it using FDIC methodology? http://www.thought-criminal.org/article/node/1655 "Texas Ratio: Cassidy and his colleagues have developed an early-warning system for spotting future trouble at banks called the Texas Ratio. The ratio is...
  12. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    this thread is about the 30 year bond the exchange is ECBOT and the future is ZB open an account at interactive brokers or similar.
  13. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    im short at 114 115 116 117 (these positions are all open) My TP is at 113 I have calls at 119 bought when ZB was trading at 112 what you guys reckon of those trades?
  14. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    the flipside is if the fed has to bail out fannie & co, it will be a major event they are going to have to print a huge amount of money to do the bail out. results? Inflation, and possible downgrade of US debt (whether by traders or rating agencys or both) neither good for treasuries....
  15. J

    Im going long on FannieMae FNM

    lol, you all schooled BTT who are the bagholders on fannie and freddie? pension funds and state investment pools etc etc?
  16. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    no telling i dont believe in one in the world can do anything other than guess Over the next 6 months: if you think there is going to be inflation, and the markets arent going to fall to pieces, short the ZB if you think the market is going to crash badly and we are going to get...
  17. J

    Im going long on FannieMae FNM

    lol, BTT schooled you all
  18. J

    Im going long on FannieMae FNM

    my prediction on the surprise govt will change rule to exempt fred and fan from new rules
  19. J

    Im going long on FannieMae FNM

    the fed will just print it up, and find some sneaky way to web it into the system as an investment by X
  20. J

    Former Refco CEO gets 16 years in prison

    dude, 16 years in the slammer, and then deportation when the sentence is done, is no vacation.
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