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nothing like being massively short ZB from 120 on a day like this loving life today

maybe this time the boat will go to hawaii or somewhere nice instead of to chapter 11

market already pricing in another 75bps by march kind of amazing I tell yah

massive stock market tank and recession fears confirmed but ZB can only move up 1 point this thing is getting very top heavy imo I cant tell you where the top is, but I think it will reverse heavily to the downside at some point soon

well, equities down and treasuries down that hasnt happen very often lately the herd getting ready to bail on ZB?

one thing I can say, if ZB ever breaks under 105, we are headed for a nasty fall..... it will be the first real "lower low" since 1982

well I rolled all my 119 march calls amazingly I bought them at 119 almost 2 months ago, and sold them today at 119 25/32 (well futures were at that) I only lost 1 handle per option (bought 2 3/4 about, sold for about 1 3/4 per option) amazing they held their value so well. now im...

care to explain better? if i trade for 5 or 6 full point moves (not ticks) on ZB, how would this affect me?

can someone please explain the tick size thing change to me? I dont understand it at all?

well i dumped most of my shorts at 118 today right after i saw the market starting to sell off despite big rally and fed cuts the stock market is pricing in a recession no matter what uncle ben does.... back up to 123 on 30 yr?

interestingly, the nickname he had on the trading floor was "Oswald"

if fed cuts 25 bps, stocks down, treasuries up is the knee jerk reaction short term after that I have no idea

I really dont buy that, 7 billion in the scheme of world markets is tiny. the whole story from start to finish is very suspicous. how is it even possible for a company to not notice 7 billion of its money moving around. if i had an account at that bank i would close it IMMEDIATELY...

yeah no rate cut and the market will throw a temper tantrum. In fact a 25 bps rate cut will probably cause a minor temper tantrum. once u give the baby what he wants, you set a precedent, lol

market is very confused about the meeting there are bets being placed on anything from another 75bps cut to no cut highest probability trade being placed is 50 bps cut, followed by 25 bps cut

the whole story is retarded he was on fixed income salary at 140k its ridiculous, he should have been playing plasma pong whenever he was in his office, and surfing porn, like all the normal employees I see. Instead he takes on nightmarish risk with unlimited downside and literally zero...

well, why would this be a big deal in any way? you guys do realize there were counterparties to that 7 billion loss in futures someone made 7 billion too? zero sum so why would this have had any effect on anything basically? stupid story in every possible way

yip this looks potentially very dangerous although someone is bidding the spooz for now at 1260, surprised they have held up here for so long

yeah gotta admit im really shocked too seemed like the world had gotten so use to sweeping bad news under the rug, that now when we finally had a serious decline start of the year, i thought that was it.... little did i know that wasnt the main show...

well, im re-igniting my stats thread, since I love market stats so much.... Here is my new stat, which I am trading right now. Using daily data since 1980, and my own proprietary volatility and moving averages, my system called a setup which it has only seen 18 times since 1980. Basically...