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The first signs of cracks in the sub prime mortgage mkt with some lenders going under are ominous indeed. Of course, bulls will tell you that hey, that's just the really bad borrowers, the average consumer is fine, and after all, don't we have a thread on ET titled "A sense the housing market...

Yeah I like Nadal's fighting spirit as well, but something went wrong against Gonzalez. Seems like he tore something in his leg. He's so young yet so commanding on the court, he's definitely going to be around for a long time, and so far is the only guy who's been able to take on Federer...

Couldn't agree more. Unfortunately as with all things on ET, everything has to be a "my daddy's bigger than your daddy'' argument. I posted in the psychology thread because I was hoping that ET's tennis players could elaborate on the mental game, and why Federer is so good at it and how that can...

Edgehunter, What year did you see Rod Laver play?

Once again, the Federal Express proved that Federer is betterer by fedexing Gonzo to second place in 3 sets. I was thrilled by the quality of the game and Roger's domination. I really admire the guy and think he's one of the world's best all time athletes. It seemed like it took herculean...

Nope, you don't. If that is your contention, then your hypothesis is simply that trend following returns = 8% (the average buy and hold longer term return). And the same tests of significance can likely be computed in less than 10 minutes if the data is trustworthy and available. My hunch is...

Surf, Instead of boring everyone with your never ending discussion with Proflogic, just cut to the chase man. What you want to know is whether trend following is a superior strategy to buy and hold correct? Firstly, acknowledge that it is statistically patently stupid/unreasonable to focus...

Why not? You have posted his numbers in the past haven't you? The WSJ last year in May revealed to the public that Matador was down 12% at the time, why the silence from Vic and the fans since then? There should be nothing to hide correct? After all, he did very well in the first three years...

Surf, You claim to be a good friend of Niederhoffer and yet it seems like you don't know what his performance was in 06' or don't want to share. Which one is it?

Surf, do you know how Matador ended 06'? Would appreciate the intelligence, Thx Maverick1

If you are absolutely sure that you have a statistically significant edge, then I would recommend Douglas. If you're not sure, then I would recommend reading Dr Brett so that you can at least start to fathom what it takes in terms of reorienting/learning until you can acquire an edge.

I also endorse both Douglas and Steenbarger, because they emphasize different areas of development. Mark is big on self understanding and the power/influence on beliefs on a trader's ability to execute flawlessly. Dr Brett is big on approaching trading as a peak performance sport and hence...

Traderich, What is this strategy's premise? Why should it work? Can you formulate an answer for me? At first glance, it seems to me that you are attempting to benefit from (i) relative strength of top performers (ii) a bull market. The last 3 months the SPX has posted a ~8% annualized...

Does anyone have a copy of this webinar lying around, it's no longer on the cbot webinar archive page? Thx, Maverick

There seems to be an extremely strong inverse correlation between the quality/importance of a question, and the number of views/responses it gets on ET.... So while I applaud your question, be afraid, be very afraid to not get an answer, :-) Tu sais, c'est come ca euuhhh-taaay, quatre vingt...

I found his comments to be quite mundane actually... I mean the last 15 minutes were a rehash of basic stuff that today's sophisticated options trading firms were using in the 70's and 80's.... But that's just my opinion. No need to agree with me. On another note, Surf, do you know how...

You just can't beat ET for entertainment, can ya?

Cajun In your MaxSpan backtest, how many trades do you have in that sample? Also, what's your win rate? Thx Maverick

bump

Bitstream, This guy is incapable of appreciating the fact that pit bull attacks are predictable and preventable, just like car accidents due to drinking and reckless driving are preventable, but unlike car accidents where unforseen mechanical failure or unforseen other reasons are the cause...