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  1. O

    From rags to riches, 700$ to 100k in 2013

    The price might also be insurance against any institutional shareholders of HNZ opposing the sale. With such a high price who is going to say 'no' ? .
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    Conservative Options Trades

    HNZ: http://www.forbes.com/sites/marketnewsvideo/2013/02/14/h-j-heinz-company-agrees-to-be-acquired-by-berkshire-hathaway-and-3g-capital/?partner=yahootix It's an all cash deal which takes a lot of the uncertainty out of it. If you wish to underwrite the sale you can sell $70 (Jan '15)...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    Taking off at Heathrow: http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=endscreen&v=7ft50jxO0Jw&NR=1...
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    Anyone selling premium only

    I am sure that 'volatility smile' is another 'purely theoretical' concept of which 'PUT-MASTER' is completely unaware. Just to add to his edumacation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volatility_smile
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    Anyone selling premium only

    It's amazing that Put-Master has apparently never heard of Black–Scholes or at least has no clue what the Black–Scholes equation is calculating. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes http://www.fintools.com/resources/online-calculators/options-calcs/options-calculator/...
  6. O

    market correction hedge - whats the best option?

    SPY: buy April 150 put and sell April 152 call for a net debit of $7 per... essentially free. Bearish Risk Reversal... but you better be right...unless you're long SPY... in which case it's a collar @ zero. :-) http://www.optiontradingpedia.com/risk_reversal.htm
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    Conservative Options Trades

    ISRG: http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/01/22/after-hours-surge-intuitive-surgicals-clean-bill-o.aspx http://finance.yahoo.com/news/intuitive-surgical-rises-9-pct-193156804.html...
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    Anyone selling premium only

    http://seekingalpha.com/article/528801-the-2-best-options-strategies-according-to-academia http://www.cboe.com/micro/buywrite/Pap-AssetConsultingGroup-CBOE-Feb2012.pdf http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=873639
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    Conservative Options Trades

    MRK: Ct'd I could 'roll' the MRK trade into a lower trade range in order to try to recover the loss above: e.g. Jan '14 30/25 bull put spread for a net credit of $30 Yield = 30/470 = 6.4% in 343 days or 6.8% annualized Prob = 97% Expectation = .97(30) - .01(470) - .02(235) = 29.1 - 4.7...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    MRK: I had a 35/30 bull put spread on MRK. Last Friday, after the bell, MRK reported its quarterly results including a disappointing projection for the remainder of 2013...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    K: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/kellogg-beats-overall-keeps-2013-181621345.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=K+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=K&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: Jan '14 45/47.50 bull put spread for $25 Yield = 11.1% in 346 days or 11.7% annualized...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    STX: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/seagate-beats-eps-revenues-exceed-172347190.html http://seekingalpha.com/article/1144821-seagate-reaping-windfall-benefits-of-industry-consolidation?source=yahoo http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=STX+Key+Statistics...
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    Larry McMillan's newsletter/mentoring course

    http://www.optionstrategist.com/sites/default/files/tostrackrcrd2012.pdf I learned to do options from his books. Above is the results table. Maybe I am blind but I don't see where he does all that great... and he does a lot of different types of trades. Also something to realize is Larry...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    CAT: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/caterpillar-sees-uncertain-2013-tough-185826493.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=CAT+Key+Statistics http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CAT&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: Sell the Jan '14 120 call and buy the Jan 125 call for a net credit of $60...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    PIKE: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=PIKE+Profile http://finance.yahoo.com/news/pike-electric-corporation-declares-special-210100993.html http://finance.yahoo.com/news/pike-electric-q2-revenue-estimate-132515603.html...
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    anyone knows some cheaspest option brokers

    United States - Smart Routed: <=10,000 Monthly Contracts .................................................Commissions...........minimum per order Premium => USD 0.10 USD........... 0.70 per contract........... USD 1.00 Premium < USD 0.10 >= .05 USD... 0.50 per contract............ USD...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    PG: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-g-excels-ups-2013-182719642.html http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=PG&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= Trade: With PG at 73.01 Sell the Jan '14 60 put and buy the Jan'14 55 put for a net credit of $35 Yield = 35/465 = 7.5% in 358 days or 7.7% annualized Prob =...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    SWHC: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/25/business/city-officials-push-pension-funds-to-divest-from-gun-makers.html?partner=yahoofinance http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/10/business/california-teachers-fund-to-divest-of-gun-stock.html...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    AAPL: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=aapl Not as big a drop as I expected. New trade calculation: Sell Jul 350 put and buy Jul 340 put for a net credit of $85 Yield = 85/915 = 9.3% in 177 days or 19.2% annualized. Prob = 91% Expectation = .91(85) - .075(915) - .015(457) = 77.4 -...
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    Conservative Options Trades

    AAPL: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-earnings-flat-despite-sales-gain-2013-01-23 http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-futures-mixed-apple-tanks-nasdaq-100-2013-01-24?siteid=yhoof2 http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AAPL&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c= I don't know what Apple will open...
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