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    Hedge Fund Manager Hugh Hendry Bets on Deflation With U.K. War Loans

    Hugh Hendry is always good value. Try this video: http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=810371062&play=1 Certainly the funniest thing I've ever seen on CNBC.
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    Optimization Paradox: Avg Trade vs. Number of Trades

    If you can tell when it's a bear and when it's a bull you've got your second system. Trade that along side Option 1 or Option 2 and you should get some nice diversification.
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    Optimization Paradox: Avg Trade vs. Number of Trades

    What I would do is look at the equity curve of each option and see how it performed in different market conditions. For example if this is a stockmarket system I would like to see how it performs in the bull market of the late 90s, the following bear maket, the low volatility of 03 & 04 and...
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    laymans backtesting software

    For end of day back testing I use Mechanica and have found that to be a very useful and easy to use tool. http://www.mechanicasoftware.com/ For intraday back testing I think you may have to go to Tradestation though I have no experience of it. For the limited intraday backtesting I have...
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    As if trading wasn't hard enough...

    http://masteroftheuniverse.wordpress.com/ October 1st entry.
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    When You Don't Allow Forest Fires, Catastrophic Fires Ultimately Result

    I read this in this weekend's Sunday Times (U.K.) http://entertainment.timesonline.co.uk/tol/arts_and_entertainment/books/non-fiction/article4787010.ece Sometimes an entire era can be summed up in a single anecdote. It is September 1978, and the private office of prime minister James...
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    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    1275 Interactive Brokers
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    Trading For Living - S&P 500 Market.

    For Interactive Brokers try AD-NYSE-I-NYSE
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    The Role Of Trend Traders In Creating Bubbles!!!

    Trend followers may well have been responsible for the bubbles you mention. However can you imagine a world without trends? That would be madness.
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    Anyone ever buy a REAL trading system???

    I bought Aberration in June '98. One of the reasons I bought it was that the trading rules were fully disclosed so I was able to spend some months backtesting. I started trading it in November '98, however by '04 the returns had started to drop off so I bought Trading Recipes (and have since...
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    Currency futures, intraday data

    Got to www.opentick.com, sign up and download the data for free.
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    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Acrary posted some work about this in the targets vs. trailing stops thread, though he was a bit coy about his actual methods. Hope that helps.
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    Relationship of leverage and drawdown

    I've tested quite a lot of trend following systems using a fixed fraction of equity for position sizing. My impression is that as the amount risked per trade increases then so does the sharpe ratio (up to a point, anyway). However as risk increases the amount of time in a drawdown also...
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    Abnormal psychology and trading: Aspergers ADHD Schizophrenia

    On the Trader Myers-Briggs Personality Type thread of the 48 people who give their type 22 are INTJs according to my count. If memory serves INTJs make up about 3 or 4% of the population as a whole so this is quite a remarkable result. According to Myers-Briggs theory then it may simply...
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    5min/1h TrendFollowing on ESTX50, SMI, & GBL

    Hi KS96, I've been following your posts with interest as you're trading in markets and in a time frame I'm interested in. (I'm currently a long term trend follower looking to diversify a little. Trend following is fine for capital appreciation but not so hot when it comes to consistent...
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