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    What do these three situations say to you?

    Allright, I'll give it a try with a clear answer... I'm looking at the last two bars... Situation C looks the most bearish due to the fact that the market moved down on very little volume... This indicates that a little bit of selling will push the market down a lot... Situation B...
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    $500+ a day trading index futures, possible?

    Sure... And just as you place your trade the trend reverses!:p Been there done that... I've known pros who could take home +20K every month and then... nothing... Even for the pros it doesn't last. You can make $500 a day in lots of ways but it doesn't last... The easiest way to...
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    How did you grow your account into a big one?

    How to grow your account size is a really good question...! FXCM used to have (I don't know if they still do) a King of the Micro contest and they published results... These are the results for July 2012...
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    The startling rise of disability in America

    Not true... Look at North Korea... They're all supported by the state... Who's spending there...??? China is another less extreme example... All their big spenders are the rich not the ones who still depend on the state. But in reality the rich are the state and I'm sure they...
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    The startling rise of disability in America

    Why the hell would they say that...? There are several factors... The rise in productivity and the new demands of labor... To be a worker these days you need to be pretty close to an athlete to get the job done. Employers are doing a lot more with a lot less. The other reason is the rise in...
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    The startling rise of disability in America

    If we compare numbers from 1961 to 2011 we will find the following, in 1961 Heart Disease and Stroke was the leader with 25.7 % compared to today where Back Pain and Other Musculoskeletal Problems leads with 33.8 %. It happens to be a fact that more workers are getting injured in this way due...
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    Spread Trading Strategies

    Both of them are in the same industry and sector and they're large companies. But unless I'm missing something this trade isn't really going his way and he's looking to average in another position... Looking forward to seeing what happens next... A simple question... When do you...
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    Charts of Note

    Hi... What is your thinking behind this trade...? Just curious to know why you picked CVX as the short and XOM as the long.
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    Examining The Probabilities Of Spread/Pair Trading

    Well... For intraday trading... I'm not sure that these strategies were ever meant for that. They're generally more for macro events... A good example would be going long F (Ford) and shorting GM (General Motors) back when GM went bust... They're both auto companies so they should...
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    Examining The Probabilities Of Spread/Pair Trading

    You're absolutely right... The outcomes can easily grow exponentially given your choices and then the market changes that happen after those choices ... Well one security will usually move faster than the other... The idea is to be market neutral, "spread trading" is supposed to be like a...
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    Examining The Probabilities Of Spread/Pair Trading

    Yeah I quit... but I still like to talk about it and obviously talk about strategies. Just giving a simple model... My hands were getting tired of typing!:D You're right about them not having a uniform distribution... in the past... But the choices for the future seem to remain the...
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    Examining The Probabilities Of Spread/Pair Trading

    Assume that we have two securities that we want to trade using a spread strategy. One will be a buy while the other will be a sell. We will obviously buy the strongest security and sell the security that we think is weak. This will lead to a spread where the strong security will outperform...
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    Trading Like A Hedge Fund

    So we have a stock say XYZ with low correlation to the Dow under a week... Say daily movement... But after... on a weekly time frame it will do what the Dow does... XYZ rises slowly with the Dow but also falls slowly... Now I don't have much experience with this kind of trading as...
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    Trading Like A Hedge Fund

    Yeah... What I've noticed is that it's a good way to make small steady predictable gains except when the trades turn against you. When they turn against you, you lose big! You have to use more size to make a decent profit and you just pick up that small difference between the two. If they...
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    Trading Like A Hedge Fund

    There's more stuff in the other episodes where they start to build a "book"... But yeah, they don't really get into the trading too much. Looked inside it on Amazon... I think I get most of what's in there... I'm not sure but didn't you run a hedge fund for a while...? What's your...
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    Trading Like A Hedge Fund

    AAPL @ 563.91... QQQ @ 63.93... The spread between them is 499.98... So in your scenario you make money if the difference between them widens... You have a rising spread indicating diverging market prices. You adjust for volatility on the size of your AAPL trade... and you should...
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    Trading Like A Hedge Fund

    I have to confess that I don't entirely get what you mean...?:confused:
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    Trading Like A Hedge Fund

    Can someone share their experiences with “trading like a hedge fund” techniques…? Similar to the videos below from the show Million Dollar Traders… <iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/v6ciY8u04Kk" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> <iframe...
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    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    I see the card and autograph but was the phone also his...?
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    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Hey... No ...LOL...! The shearling is cool!... I was actually looking at that... Anything made out of sheepskin has my seal of approval...! :D
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