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  1. X

    Is This 2000 Redux? (In Miniature)

    Yes, a 2 year view of the SPX shows elongated bottoms in APR, OCT 2005 whereas the recent JUN, JUL V-bottoms along with sharp rallies have a bearish footprint. My only concern is how to play this 'transitionary' environment. I was crunching out a variety of double diags, calendar, and...
  2. X

    How's real estate market in your area?

    same crap in Ft Laud, where I sold my home 15% off
  3. X

    How is Pluto not like Uranus? No, not a bad joke.

    perhaps Pluto is a floater of Uranus??
  4. X

    Swiss bank vs Bobby Fischer

    pretty sure that's Albert Einstein - he was Swiss-born. I studied Bobby and Albert in depth, bottom line EQ=1/(IQ)^2
  5. X

    Free online option chart

    http://www.hoadley.net/options/optiongraphs.aspx?
  6. X

    Aapl

    oh gosh, aapl is done, get out of longs and buy your puts now if you haven't already. remember the cockroach theory, one cockroach, two cockroaches, pretty soon we're talking real big cockroaches.. an ailing stage 3 stock in an ailing group in an ailing market -don't be surprised if it gaps...
  7. X

    Difficult day ?

    from the daily view, SPY volume contracting with rise, expanding with drops since may. I'd go short from here. On intraday, draw a 120 period linear regression, 3 std dev width channel on the 15min bar view. Go short when the price double tops at the top channel line. 8/4 and 8/9 are example...
  8. X

    Bullish on Stock - Request for Advice

    not an optimal candidate I'd say it could gap down at any moment given history. The current low HV could mean a continued steady climb or a sudden spill..
  9. X

    Any psychologist on this forum?

    if you wanted to discover something new about dogs, would you observe 1000 dogs or 1000 books?
  10. X

    Oil Up, Markets Down: By how much though?

    you have to remember that far more is known than is reported. The big hoodlums on Wall St send their hitman all over the world to research and get in bed with all the action every day. All the companies, all the countries, every CEO, everyone, everything. Just look at all the execs who sell...
  11. X

    Xrt

    RTH perhaps more liquid but i prefer a stock at the beginning of the slide
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    hitting a glass ceiling

    if I make 100% return my first year and 50% return my second year, my performance is statistically insignificant. 2 data points do not a distribution make. don't fool yourself into overconfidence. start out first year with a $5k account and pretend it is $50k. then do it again the second year...
  13. X

    So many pretenders on ET

    It's actually all helpful. It shows you how irrational traders are. Traders are the market.
  14. X

    How low do we go??

    1. History suggests highest probability is downside after fed cycle. 2. VIX showing exponential rise (see log scale last 10 years) 3. The Bellweather Leisure & Entertainment sectors showing worst 3mo RS to the S&P in 15 years. Defensive (Tobacco, Food/Bev, Utilities) on the rise. 4...
  15. X

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    plot SBUX, MGM vs VIX on log scale for the last 10 years and tell me what you think
  16. X

    Barbecued Bernanke

    Man, I feel so bad for this guy - his mug is gonna be on every mag everywhere with big, ugly stenciled letters: GUILTY Everybody loves a scapegoat, and he's gonna be it. No, it won't be all those finger flying gas guzzlers flying by at 90mph. And never mind all those credit card...
  17. X

    Gold Strangle/Straddle

    Looking at Jan07 ABX and GG, vega=~08, Theta= ~.01. Both at IV lows, great option volume. Looking for opinions on this & other Gold related spreads. many thx
  18. X

    Aapl

    yes, it was about 37% yesterday, could still get in at about 40% today (vs the latest hi of about 52%) so there was still room this a.m.
  19. X

    Chart question

    i don't know how far back but great intraday charts at www.prophet.net
  20. X

    Aapl

    http://www.primezone.com/newsroom/news.html?d=103348
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