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  1. Q

    ----- Speculators Lose, Market Makers and Investors Win -----

    The fact of the matter is that most "passive" investors are actually closet timers to some extent. So many got sucked into the tech runup in late '99, then held on for for the ride down. Most of these same "buy and hold" investors then threw in the towel and went ultra conservative in mid-2002...
  2. Q

    Burned or Legite Fill?? SPX Options

    Thanks guys- I figured it out... after looking at the run last night I realized they bought back the wrong spread (supposed to be the 1505-1525 and for some reason they did the 1500-1520)... they are correcting on their dime so it's all good. Thanks.
  3. Q

    Burned or Legite Fill?? SPX Options

    If the "time and sales" for the two option contracts in a spread show that the worst possible price (assuming you got bought the highest and sold the lowest print of the day) was 6.50 and you were somehow filled at 7.90, is there any way this could be legit? The spread also closed on Friday at...
  4. Q

    Damn.. crash tomorrow..

    where do you get a quote on the hang seng? thx.
  5. Q

    Urgent Question

    equity options open at the same time the stocks open... no pre-market trading that i'm aware of.
  6. Q

    Predictions For Monday

    Any predictions for Monday given Friday's report? I find it interesting that the spooz rallied on Friday now that the rate cut scenario is temporarily out of the picture. I expect a short lived rally to give way to some minor selling once reality sets in. And no, i'm not caught short...
  7. Q

    Tokyo Earthquake 8.1, futures are dropping like rock

    april fools?
  8. Q

    gold's future

    For a company like Newmont to double their income all it takes is gold averaging $900/ounce vs. $600/ounce (they're current cost per ounce is around $300). So, if gold were to trade at $1200/ounce for a sustained period of time (a fraction of what many "experts" believe is possible), it seems...
  9. Q

    Bee Declines

    great post... the trickle down effect should not be ignored. i'll have to cut back on those peanut butter and honey sandwiches.
  10. Q

    DELL "misconduct"

    didn't seem to phase the futures... interesting. By John Shinal, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:41 PM ET Mar 29, 2007 SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Dell Inc. said late Thursday an internal probe into its past accounting practices uncovered errors and evidence of misconduct which may...
  11. Q

    Why I think the decline has only just started

    I agree... anything drastic and the Fed steps in. When it comes to a complete meltdown, for what it's worth, in both 1929 and 1987 the market peaked 55 days prior to "crashing." While anything could happen, I'm leaning toward some additional selling on Monday but some buying into the close and a...
  12. Q

    Buy QQQQ puts

    Tony, If you're looking to "insure" your portfolio against a large market decline, you might want to consider purchasing options that are out of the money (the 46 put is actually in the money). They'll be less expensive and serve the same purpose (if indeed the market were to fall that...
  13. Q

    Monday market direction

    Lets not forget the broader market (S&P 500) hit a 6-year high on Wednesday... sure we had a pullback on Thursday, but doesn't it become costly to attempt to call tops like this? Personally, i'm waiting for some confirmation in the form of price action before going short... seems to make more...
  14. Q

    throwing in the fkin towel!!!

    "if you want ot INVEST for the longterm, it is relatively simple *assuming the world does not end* there is not a single 20 yr period in HISTORY of the stock market in the US (well over 100 years btw) where a simple dollar cost averaging every month into a stock index (which is easy to do now...
  15. Q

    Trendlines - what did I do wrong here? (pics)

    What was your exit strategy going into the trade?
  16. Q

    RYMXX interest payment?

    You'll be credited interest for each day you held the fund... The Rydex MM fund makes distributions the last trading day of each month.
  17. Q

    Factoid for the PermaBears

    Nikkei 1989 = 39,000... Nikkei today = 17,000... 15+ years and still an open draw of > 50%... good thing nothing like this could ever happen in the U.S.!!
  18. Q

    50% Annual Returns

    It is if you're long the stk as well (which I think was his point).
  19. Q

    Looking forward to disasters ?

    I hear ya ACM... just about everyone long natty or crude during hurricane season has got to subconciously "cheer" when a hurricane begins to develop and head toward the gulf. It's really a catch 22 as the last thing anybody wants to see is one of those hurricanes destroy homes/kill people...
  20. Q

    Where can I find S&P 500 Total Return Data, Year by Year?

    http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/xls/index/MONTHLY.xls this goes back to 1988... i'm sure the rest of the info. is on the site somewhere if you look hard enough, but I wasn't able to locate. Interesting that you mention 1980 as a starting period... try doing the same thing from 1966...
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