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  1. countryBoy641

    Major Bottom pattern on $TNX

    The FED has 600-800 PHD Economists. And none of them can read a bar chart. Buckle up.
  2. countryBoy641

    $TNX versus $WTIC

    $TNX breaking out to the upside. Surprised nobody cares. All this euphoria about "growth stocks" will not end well.
  3. countryBoy641

    $TNX versus $WTIC

    $TNX seems trapped versus $WTIC challenging to make new 8 year highs. That's a paradox that doesn't work longer term.
  4. countryBoy641

    If Technical Analysis doesn’t work, how do you define a bull market?

    Having been first Registered Series 7 in April 1982, may I offer a few observations. Back in those days (40 years ago) simple TA (Mansfield Charts) would pretty much do the trick. But now we have something different. James Grant tells that originally the FED was established to moderate the...
  5. countryBoy641

    Monthly payments on taxes

    I'm in the U.S. I pay every year on January 15, (cap. gains + DIVs + interest). I believe the rule is you have to prepay on Jan 15, 90% of what you estimate your final tax bill for the year. 1040 EST (Estimate) I have already filed mine for 2021. My state already deposited their check, FEDs...
  6. countryBoy641

    Crude six week consolidation - is that finished?

    Sputtering, but appears to have turned. Other: I never look at "What if ..." The IRS doesn't have any "1040 WHAT IF" form.
  7. countryBoy641

    AGs outperforming precious metals

    top chart: DBA versus Gold bottom chart: DBA versus Silver
  8. countryBoy641

    Soybeans to challenge the supply at $22.10

    I'm long. Not Rip Van Winkle long, but long enough.
  9. countryBoy641

    Soybeans to challenge the supply at $22.10

    Beans rallied sharply in 2020, into early 2021. Now 7 months of a bull flag. Is it ready?
  10. countryBoy641

    11 minutes with Warren Buffett...

    For all the folks criticizing Buffett "could have done this better ... that better" The guy is 91. Most people don't make it to 91. Of the ones who do, many barely know where they live. This guy was a power slugger in his day. But he was adamant - never a hostile takeover, ever. Best thing I...
  11. countryBoy641

    Crude six week consolidation - is that finished?

    Your concerns (about indicators and data overload) are very valid. And it is an easy problem to get into. For that reason, I keep sets of performance based charts: this-market-versus-that-market. No indicators needed here. Once you can establish that a trend change is coming, start looking at...
  12. countryBoy641

    Crude six week consolidation - is that finished?

    MACD Hist is above zero. Lefthand crossover.
  13. countryBoy641

    Crude six week consolidation - is that finished?

    Or maybe just let some air out of the bag. (i.e. leverage) Some people would say that the covid discussion in the U.S. is a total sideshow, giving covering fire to the FED money printing. aka a giant distraction. COVID Vaccines pose 7 times higher death risk than COVID for young people...
  14. countryBoy641

    Crude six week consolidation - is that finished?

    Positive divergence at the Dec 2 low. Uptrend resuming?
  15. countryBoy641

    cbot Corn sentiment!

    West Texas oil ($WTIC) breaking out at $78, 7 year high. Do you think that is priced in too? How much diesel is required to plant and then harvest 1,000 bushels of corn?
  16. countryBoy641

    Death Cross

    You people waste a ton of time and energy. Anybody who is trying to make money in markets and DOES NOT HAVE A SERIOUS edge that they found on their own is foolish. That's gambling. Just sayin ...
  17. countryBoy641

    Death Cross

    Candles didn't exist in U.S. markets, which are the only markets that matter, then and now. And candles, (somekind of shorthand for trading rice) are borderline useless in manipulated markets, which is all we have now.
  18. countryBoy641

    Death Cross

    I didn't say which would make you successful. I said which books were first. Other post states that Nison (candles?) was first. I was registered 7 in April 1982. Candles didn't exist in 1982.
  19. countryBoy641

    Death Cross

    If you are going to lecture about patterns, I suggest you base it on facts. The securities industry started "under the buttonwood tree" .. at Wall and Broad. At that time, and even today, the U.S. was unique in championing private property rights, on which the concepts of securities (stocks AND...
  20. countryBoy641

    Death Cross

    Another one of those gems, everybody who sold the IPO is golden. Everybody else is a potential bag holder.
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