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  1. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Lawrence is right, here is a lot of bitching between manufacturers and exporters about USD exchange rate. It is killing many of them.
  2. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

  3. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Short 1111.75 stop 1122, target 1100, swing.
  4. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Or US dollar totally garbaging what looks REAL danger to me...
  5. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I personally think that put stop out of trading hours between R1 and S1 for next day is no win situation - mostly it will be triggered. Enough safe is just stop out of S2-R2. Forget for trade if you need give stop between S1-R1.
  6. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I am analysing market patterns and indicators probably more deep than majority and I am simple not able find in past setups those are repeating last months. The only logical explanation seems to me that there are the leading market participants those have a lot of money and are not afraid lose...
  7. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    If I look on spy daily if it will be every candle minute and not day I will not doubt that whole rally is bear flag that will fall down at 115-120 most probably to 60-55 (in positive case to 66 and as minimum to 80). Because it is daily I do not know -I can not imagine such giant bear flag.
  8. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    You need find something twice as big...
  9. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Some are more complicating trading than necessary. This rally will end one day, just we do not know when. Just few fundamental questions: When last times was spy higher than year earlier? Where is the ugliest unclosed mother of all gaps on spy? Do you understand now why it can not...
  10. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Yes, but the MM boots are fading movement from VWAP and Emas. If it will go more out they are more fading. Therefore will price not drop like rock 100 points on seconds - there are boots reacting. But if we sit at VWAP they do not know what to do. I guess therefore is miserable price action and...
  11. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I think we fall up to the 200Ema and S1 on daily both is appr 1000. Do nto forget that up to the beginn of August the rally was easy "to the 200 EMA" on daily. Since that it is difficult, we need run "out of the EMA", it is much harder. If we want show the strenght (I do not understand...
  12. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    We are exactly on VWAP on daily and on VWAP on Rangebars and on vWAP on time bars. Can you imagine how confused are VWAP boots now? I think they have instruction not participate in market under such conditions. Very dangerous situation for HFT trading.
  13. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Hm, and what about 3 white soldiers on daily with 2nd day today? It looks today to strong today.
  14. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I had few minutes problem, it works now. I expect unexpected market turn, it tends go down in most exciting situations.
  15. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Looking where are indicators (well oversold, if we will go back to 12we will be very oversold, it can stay there just short time) short squezze can be easily arranged by any MM subject. My (wild) guess: 1. We will end somewhere where are now. 2. If we fall down and make the double bottom it...
  16. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    No. Analyse on 1 tick chart what happens on every significant market turn. You will be surprised. Ok, every rule has exceptions but they normaly do not allow untaken stops on obvious places. And if you think that you can take position in miliseconds when the price mover there - yes, if you...
  17. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I agree with flipflopper. With such stop your practically gave up to win more than few points. If THEY decided to go up they will run stops placed on that obvious place. So if you wanted scalp 1-3 points stop was OK. But for 10 - no real chance.
  18. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    There is extremely ugly gap on daily EUR/USD a bit bellow us. I think this will be very big magnet, I do not expect any significant bounces on daily due this fact (and we do not know was was cooked on G20 summit). Stockturder was bullish under any circumstances, he will never calculate with...
  19. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Only now you convinced me that you are not stocktruder ... :) Until now I was not believing, you are moving a lot in America not speaking about proxy...
  20. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Rangebar chart. It shows a lot useful information, I watch both rangebars and time based. Yellow 200 Ema, thick pink VWAP
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