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    2011: Rebuilding My Battered Account

    neke, you probably couldn't care less. Nevertheless, I'm here to repeat your success not your failure. Please, pull yourself together and show us that you know how to trade. You can do it! Do you really need to experiment so often with your capital? --- You must learn from the mistakes of...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    No one really listens to anyone else, and if you try it for a while you'll see why. __- Mignon McLaughlin
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    2011: Rebuilding My Battered Account

    Quote from neke: I need to cut-off the contrarian, and do more of momentum (trend). Will be shutting down all manual contrarian strategies, and sizing down on the automated ones even further while I explore other possibilities. --- Quote from Businessman (08-21-11): Mean...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    TO, there's a mountain pictured in the chart. The price's been going down for two days. --- It's obvious that you are trying to teach. NYSEStocks made a lot of us think by posting his original question and IMO his mission was accomplished by that. He never gave a direct answer because he had...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    *** The obvious thing about the chart on the top is that the price on it starts at the bottom left hand corner and goes to the top right hand corner. *** It's going to be two years soon after this thread started and I still don't know exactly what the "Obvious" is and WHY the Obvious is not...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, what choice do I have? Somebody in this thread mentioned that the majority of us look at charts. Most lose, someone may argue. Fine. My goal is to become one of the few that manage to profit from chart patterns. The logic behind certain moves I find quite reasonable. I used to think...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, Since you mentioned math psychology and philosophy, can I trouble you with this? "Third time is a charm." How that works? Here is the basic pattern. In a non-trending market you see a lot of two-legged moves. And I don't quite understand why only two. The second leg is a...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    Thank you, MAESTRO. I have an image of the school of fish and that giant flock of birds in my mind. (www.ted.com Mathematician Steven Strogatz shows how flocks of creatures (like birds, fireflies and fish) manage to synchronize and act as a unit ...) Since "... it's not entirely a...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, Thank you again for your kind reply. I'm not sure I will ever be able to have a machine like yours but at this time I'm more concerned how to deal mentally with UNCERTAINTY. --- "Spontaneous sync is a phase shift of chaos." Does it mean it becomes less chaotic for a while...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, Thank you for your kind reply. The language you've spoken to me I understand much better. :) The two systems (the market and your machine with the randomizer) are floating in the soup of chaos and don't have to be interdependent - they will be in sync, at some point, anyways? How...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    I'm not a scientist. But the word "FUNDAMENTAL" grabs my attention. I want to have a referance point for my mindset as a trader. MAESTRO, you are the main 'attractor' in this thread so my questions and thoughts are to you. Is it chaotic or random? "Confluence of unknowable influences"...
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    what time frame to enforce the "never let a winner turn into a loser" rule?

    And, this is probably related too: Well Lucias, I think you would probably agree, that if your original strategy calls for something like risk to reward of 1:3 and you start moving stops around, that's going to give you something less than 1:3 over time. --- You are probably right...
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    what time frame to enforce the "never let a winner turn into a loser" rule?

    Break Even Point in Day Trading. - That's my headache at this time. It's often hit in a trade that turns out to be a winner otherwise. Based on the strategy that is starting to develop in my day trading the ratio of winning to losing trades is approximately 50/50 and that's until I have made...
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    Hard Stops vs Mental Stops

    Thank you for your kind reply, KK. As one of my most respected posters here on ET said: "You're not even a pimple on the ant's ass...". I understand very well what you say about liquidity. But at any reversal point (or at any point where I place my stop on any time frame) there will be stops...
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    Hard Stops vs Mental Stops

    The very first question my mother asked me when saw me day trading: "They are watching you, aren't they?" Would somebody please elaborate on what our own brokers can and cannot do in terms of running stops, please? Thank you. Too silly question to ask? Sorry, this is the second time I post it.
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    Stops - do you want them?

    The very first question my mother asked me when saw me day trading: "They are watching you, aren't they?" Would somebody please elaborate on what our own brokers can and cannot do in terms of running stops, please? Thank you.
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    Taking 410K to 4million by Year End 2010

    Here is what I see: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWy_0_r3pJI Still big fan of yours, neke. Good Luck!
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