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    Can a single individual annually earn like 70% to over 100% in the long term?

    There is a lot of luck involved in who ends up as a top performer.
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    Mathematical expectation

    Not sure this is relevant or even true.
  3. S

    Mathematical expectation

    Expectancy is too much of a stupid concept to have a fight over it.
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    George Soros on Trading

    Either that or the stop was tight.
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    Mathematical expectation

    "The first problem is that the expectation E[T] is approximately equal to the average trade AvgT only for sufficiently large samples" "The second even more important problem is that E[T] is not stationary in general but can vary as a function of trade count N." Source So limited...
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    Quantitave Trading Techniques Recap and Questions

    Do not waste you time reading papers. Just trade a real account.
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    Mathematical expectation

    Relying on expectancy is like sitting in an empty bar waiting for a supermodel to come in and talk to you. Expectancy says what happened in the past. The future may and will be different. Some authors who have traded little or maybe not at all have promoted this statistic and many clueless...
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    Secrets of Market Wizards

    You cannot separate skill from luck although they are different. You can never know who made it because of luck or because of skill. Understand this and you will stop reading these books and false guidance in most cases. Trading is about taking the money of other traders. You can do that by...
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    Too Many Indicators?

    You forgot the Maaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaassssssssssssssss index:)
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    Trend Filter using Power Language

    Is this power language the same as easylanguage?
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    New forex signal indicator

    Good job Kut2k2!
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    From idea to trading system, a framework.

    You need to automate this otherwise it takes too long. Just try to avoid this trap.
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    Million Dollar Traders

    Short interest at historic lows in stock market. Shorts have given up and many are bankrupt. MMs wait for losers to short a stock and then rally it to the sky. Before Intel skyrocketed they had articles about how crappy the company was to attract short interest. Then they took their money.
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    Exit methods for trend-traders

    I believe that random entries are profitable only if there is along-term bias in the price series. If there is a lot of chop they do not work.
  15. S

    GLD up or down in 2014

    Bulls were beaten up yesterday. Today up a little. Good analysis here
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    Science versus the gut

    Science is only good if it is properly understood. More traders are now realizing the limitations of backtesting and they are worse than any discretionary bias. Here is an interesting angle: " Traders who use such products without understanding these realities of repeated backtesting with many...
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    Where to buy a trading system?

    So how can a public service help you to develop a trading system with a difficult to learn language like python when every little detail has to be programmed? Maybe it is a wonderful system but traders should devote their time coming up with ideas to test, not with programming them. Tradestation...
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    Pros and cons of trading markets

    When it comes down to a transaction, how do you distinguish a hedger from a speculator? Only if you consider an extended game that includes physical commodity trading then it may not be zero-sum. But that is not the game played by speculators. For speculators it is zero-sum unless they...
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