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  1. J

    Have you been trading profitably for more than a year?

    NOTE TO POST OWNER AND MODERATOR: I apologize in advance that the below post is technically off-topic. I tried a PM, but he mentioned that he might not be back. Perhaps someone who knows him will see this and kindly forward the information to him. T-REXX, Please accept my condolences...
  2. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Man, the market has been very predictable this week, trading off of the numbers. Recap 10 February 2006 Based on the above you knew that an important report was coming out at 0730. There was a long trade starting at 0630 that you could have exited at 0725 for a 7 tick profit. But let's...
  3. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Recap Thursday 09 February 2006 Just looking at the above, what did we know about Thursday prior to even initiating a trade? We knew from last week that 112 03/04 was important. We knew that 112 15 was important. We knew that 112 21 was extremely important. We knew from last week that...
  4. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Thursday was essentially a repeat of last week Friday in terms of the market not staying down at the lows very long. There was better behaviour at the key numbers for some solid shorts. Today we are back to the numbers I published on 06 Feb 2006. I'm not going to call market behaviour...
  5. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    08 February 2006 Continued.... There really isn't much to say about Wednesday, other than you should have been shorting from 113 01 starting between 0755 and 0905 CST. 09 February 2006 Since we are back to being in last week's stupid range again, we are back to using last weeks...
  6. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Quick re-cap of Tuesday and Wednesday 07 February 2006 I published the 113 11 number on Monday, and if you recall last week, I had 113 10 as a price projection number. Depending on your own indicators, you may not have known to go short right at 113 10, but surely by the time we reached...
  7. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    No trading for me yesterday or today. In any event, numbers posted on Monday, as well as numbers from last week still stand.
  8. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Just as I expected, there really wasn't much activity today. You probably could have traded today with your eyes closed. 0721 Sold 2 ZB's at 113 08. I had a limit at 113 10, but didn't get filled. As price weakened I got in finally at 113 08. The above sell was based off the Fib number...
  9. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Pre-market Commentary 06 February 2006 Unfortunately, starting today, I will dramatically scale back on my minute by minute commentary. I went back and re-read everything I had posted, as well as looking at the charts as well as looking at my IB daily statements. My conclusion after looking...
  10. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Interesting how I publicly stated that it was the end of my short bias, and yet I subconsciously could not get the short bias out of my mind. I continued to view the market from a short bias. Sorry, I'm engaging in a lot of introspection. I'm going to collect my thoughts and elaborate more...
  11. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    It has been a very Interesting 2 weeks hasn't it. If you caught a bit of puzzlement on my part concerning yesterday's activity you are correct. I nailed the pre-market and the first hour of trading. I made my profit twice and waited for my short at 112 17 followed by an attempted second...
  12. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Sorry, attached wrong file. Here it is with my neural network CCI.
  13. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    I've been meaning to post charts so when this is archived people can easily see what I've been discussing. Since today is so interesting, here is the chart. I call a day like today a V day. Just haven't seen one this dramatic. If you forget about all price activity prior to 0810 CST you...
  14. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Yes, I see exactly what you mean re: the selling under 112 10. I'm looking at it now on my Market Profile clone and I see what you mean. Thanks for your thoughts. By the way, the Chinese truck comment was just a joke or were you alluding to foreign buying?
  15. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Good insight. Any further comment on why you wanted to buy into a dip in the first place?
  16. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Thanks! Glad to hear it.
  17. J

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    This has got to be the most unusual day I've seen in months. Spike up to 113 10. Then down to 112 03. Then all the way back up to 113 09. Any ideas/comments?
  18. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    Posted an hour ago. Little did I know how accurate that casual statement would be.
  19. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    I'm looking at the recent new highs of 113 09, just shaking my head at the amount of money left on the table by not reversing at 112 20. Would really love to hear from anyone who nailed today. In particular I'm looking for anyone who nailed the time period between 0930 and 0940. Finally...
  20. J

    Bond Trader 2006

    OK, here's the deal. Anytime, you think you've calculated everything for the day, and you're right initially, and you've made your profit AND the market does what it is doing right now, i.e. travel from 113 12 to 112 03 and back to 113 00, you must step aside. Get out. Leave. My bias was...
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