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Hey D! Still look amateurish???? :)
It looks much better. You need to work on index models for trading beta-vol (single name vol). Calc the index forward. I prefer to work with an ATM fly skew value over using vol-basis (net 25D put/call annualized). It's normed and easier to heatmap/visualize. Start with a synthetic for each... -
Should the POTUS interfere with FOMC's decision?
EURUSD vols are 8%. BTC vols are 70% trailing. An OOM more volatile. -
Should the POTUS interfere with FOMC's decision?
Steve, take your meds. -
Should the POTUS interfere with FOMC's decision?
(The average citizen doesn't care about FX) because they earn, spend and invest locally. 150X return in a decade. You are looking for 20X returns in the next 10Y. Can you imagine the realized vol at a mil notional per coin? ppl will be blowing up left and right simply from the inability to... -
Should the POTUS interfere with FOMC's decision?
You turn every thread into a BTC-discussion. The average citizen doesn't care about FX. They aren't holding dollar-yen because they buy a Toyota. FX is not meant to be a store of value. By your logic no shares should be held as they are denominated in fiat. You sell your house and receive... -
Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?
Most of the money I made trading crypto was triggered by TH/s over spot price. -
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VIX above 50, surging
lol up almost 200 bps since your post. 20.69 last. -
Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?
M3 in 1971 (Nixon Shock) $700B. Total cap of gold was ~$300B. That's just US M3. Ignoring all other FX. -
Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?
WTF is that? He/she is wrong. -
Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?
The argument is anti-fiat, but in reality it's a maximalist argument as the total crypto-market is approaching $2.5T. I think a better valuation metric is marking it to some multiple of GDP. IOW what made the gold standard impractical. Crypto will experience the same limit (gold standard analog). -
Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?
$16,644,672,000,000. mcap of all gold mined to date. 1.65T mcap of BTC. So you're only looking for 10X. lol. -
Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?
Puts are only cheap when you know they will pay out.. like forecasting $500K BTC. I love these million/billion /coin values. Like there is a limit to stupidity. -
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Getting Weirder - J.D. Vance in Drag
Why is he wearing eyeliner? From Yale to present? Christians would like to know.