Search results

Ah! Dunstan. Your explanation is clear. Thanks a lot

Thank you for this new input, Dunstan. I have had overviewed the COT reports so far. But, I now wish to move a step further. I feel like there are nice things to learn and be a bit better at anticipating price moves. In the pic you attached sooner today, there is "COT index" given for each...

Hi Dunstan. Thank you for your ne reply. What I observe in the graph you attached (during the last year), is that a period when both C and LS are net short followed by a rapid turn of C in net long territory and a symetric increase of the net short positions of LS translate into pressure on...

Hello Dunstan, thank you for replying. My point was that I don't understand what is so different between the shorter and longer graphs. I mean both show large traders and commercials' positions getting closer.

Rough rice: "While the one year long chart suggests that a good sell opportunity is in formation, the 5 year long chart shows that we are at a COT extreme. " I am new to your comments. I don't get well what you mean here. Would you bit kind to explina, please?

I agree, and one can argue that according to some old economic theories the prices of 2 byproducts of a same say feedstock move in the opposite way. But, it sems to me the behaviour now of the prices in the soybean complex is quite unusual. @tallent_e

Soyoil continues to go the other way. It was the case at the opening once again last night. And, soyoil closed down up, while beans and meals were down at the close in the normal session in Chicago, today. Any input?

Did you notice that soyoil has tended to trend in the opposite direction of soybean and soymeal at the opening of the electronic session in Chicago, and at some points during the day session, these last days? Pretty unusual, right? Do you see any peculiar reason for this to happen now...

Borsa Italiana just launched future contracts on durum (once again this is NOT hard wheat, this is durum wheat). http://www.borsaitaliana.it/borsa/derivati/agrex-futures/lista.html Already (!), 15 contracts have been traded. There is a single delivery location: Foggia ... Sicily ...

Hi again. Well, many things can be downloaded from : ftp://www.liffe.com/ (use your python skills to compile everything in your own database) The sad thing is that they changed their all system some months ago. Since then, we haven't have any longer access to older files (before that...

Thank you for replying. I am realizing my message was not that clear. I do not use IB. I would be keen to hear your favorite tips on easily getting data from the LIFFE website right to Excel. @tallent_e

Hi TraDaTor. What data can one get this way? Future quotes only? Option prices? A bit more on "how-to" is welcome!

Indeed, durum is a special wheat! this is even not wheat, this is durum. Here in Europe, understanding the durum market is straightforward: - 100% cash market so far. - 2 two main producing countries: France and Italy - 1 main consumer: Italy - this is a very price-sensitive market: as...

The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange recently was in the news: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/24/china-rapeseed-idUSL4N09Y2S220121224 "China's securities regulator has given approval to the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange to trade futures contracts in rapeseed and rapeseed meal, a move...

Thank you for your input TraDaTor. Reading the threads at EliteTrader has been insightful for me. It seems there is a(n almost) strict separation between market analysis and market trading. This really departs from I was thinking up to recently, that is market analysts: 1) provide...

Hi George. Thank you for replying. Whatever the weather prediction models, the crop yield forecast models (...), there always is uncertainty left on the final crop production level. I think that's exciting. Besides, I have come to think that trading and market research/market anlysis...

And where do we go from here?

and, then ... There are a least 3 points, I would like to hear comments on: - What do you think of the bump in US bean oil export (from 1200 million pounds to 1800 new USDA's est.) ? - The trick in the Chinese corn balance sheet (prod. and dom. consumption), the USDA plugging the CNGOIC...

Hi all. I am quite new to this forum. What about compiling the new USDA's estimates each of us will be most watching, tomorrow? For my part: In the world balances: - Corn, China: will USDA higher its production estimate? - Soybean, China: import level? - Soybean, Brazil and...

I agree. Looks too good, to stay free. ;)