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  1. janbillian

    Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?

    @zghorner, I've got big respect for you to go public with this - alone because of the comission alone, it's almost impossible - not 100%, but almost impossible to win in the game of daytrading. Markets are so efficient that beating the S&P 500 by a wide margin is extremely difficult, as you...
  2. janbillian

    Is it realistic to design a 100% rule based system that will make you money every month?

    @Dmitry8 , in a nutshell, this is unfortunately not possible. I've had the privilege of chatting (on Facebook, we never met in real life) with a real market wizard, Tom Basso. He's a chemical engineer by training, had his start in 1980 and suffered a drawdown period from 18 months ! That is...
  3. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Given the great signal quality Volatility Calibrated Average True Range (VCATR), this indicator can be found on TradingView, has with buy/long signals in the Nasdaq 100, I played a little bit with it on TV. It is very likely that the NDX / Nasdaq 100 has a longterm support in the 13,000 -...
  4. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    What I did not know is that the NDX / Nasdaq100 did so much better than the S&P 500 since 1985 ! Pretty impressive, short read -> https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/nasdaq-100-generated-2152-cagr-last-10-years-abheey-
  5. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Martin Zweig, Author of "Winning on Wall Street", developed numerous indicators, among them the Breath Thrust indicator. This is, unfortunately, from 11/13/2023, now a little over a month old - I simply missed it, am very frustrated. Still, it may indicate even higher stock prices in November...
  6. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    A wonderful educational article provided by Charles Schwab on saving into a low cost index fund on the S&P 500 (or NDX) is the smartest choice for many investors, with a given date each year or month. Note that multiyear rolling periods were considered ...
  7. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Will Chris Camillo get it right again this time ? Chris has had an amazing run, with a CAGR close to 80% ! He has turned less than 100k US$ into more than 100 million US$, certainly one of the best traders of our time. He had his start in 2006. He has also written a book, called "Laughing at...
  8. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Altria will raise its dividend this year to 0.98 US$ / quarter, up from 0.94 US$ last business year. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/altria-raises-quarterly-dividend-by-4-3-to-98-cents-a-share-93947bb3
  9. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Page 28 of this thread, #274, I suggested buying shares of dutch company Philips, then trading @ around 12.80 € (October 31st, 2022). The shares closed at 20.68 € yesterday, I still think they may see 26 € within the next 4 - 5 years. Plus, the company pays out a dividend. I do think though...
  10. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    "You’ll learn innovative concepts in extreme diversification, futures trading, and equity exposure, along with insights on how to structure—and customize—your portfolio." Tom Basso's newest book, was published this year, 2023, to great reviews.
  11. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Another update by Markus Keil, from 07/01/2023 . Length 06:37 Minutes, language is german. New equity high for him.
  12. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Tom Basso, featured in "The new market wizards", has updated his website, enjoytheride.com 2020 was his best year as a trader, he realized a capital gain of almost 100% ! https://enjoytheride.world/interviews/
  13. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    I want to share this short video by my personal favorite german daytrader, Markus Keil. Unfortunately, this video is in his native german language (I'm german, too). Markus has hit a new high in his equity, as have his coachees. Length of video around 4 minutes, very short.
  14. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    I just revisited the indicator "Volatility calibrated ATR" on TradingView. The author goes by the name "bitmexstorm". In the Nasdaq 100 / NDX, the results on timeframe "daily" have been very good in the past. I've discovered that whenever a sell signal was taken on the upside, the sell signal...
  15. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    I hope every reader of this thread will keep his eyes on Omaha's sages. When they purchase BIG in a single's companys stock, chances are this single investment may outperform the market. The great thing, Buffett sometimes very clearly articulates his outlook for the market or a single company's...
  16. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Back on Altria (ISIN : US02209S1033), this was published in 2018 on motleyfool. Excerpt from the article, "In general, increased scrutiny and declining smoking rates actually help the industry's strongest players, chief among them Altria. That's because competitors have a harder time breaking...
  17. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    For anyone reading this and having a newborn, if you save a hundred bucks a month for your child from birth on, and explain to him / her the benefits of continuing to do so when they are young adults, they have quite some money when 40 years old. Of course, no one knows what taxation on capital...
  18. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    It IS right, easy to calculate with various free calculators online. Start with zero starting capital, annual "interest rate" 10%, then type in the monthly amount and play with the years. Yearly compounding, not monthly ! Peter Lynch was of course completely correct on the math portion. In...
  19. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    For the germanspeaking readers of my thread here - für die deutschsprachigen Leser und Leserinnen meines Threads hier : Der Nachfolger Warren Buffett's bei Berkshire Hathaway, Ted Weschler, im Porträt. Was erreichte er als Privatanleger, bevor er bei Berkshire anfing ? Eine Menge ...
  20. janbillian

    ... but is it doable in reality ?

    Back on investing long-term with a buy & hold approach, the CFO of Altria, Sal Mancuso, has said the plan is to increase the annual dividend in the mid single-digit range, around 4% per year. This would be quite a feat, with the shares closing @ 46.69 US$, it'd mean around 10% dividend yiel in...
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