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    oil coil, buyers higher

    From Martin Sosnoff in Forbes: That the energy sector of the S&P 500 Index is just 11%, I construe bullishly. ExxonMobil stock’s weighting is under 3%, but it’s a doggy, up just 3% year-to-date. The history of oil prices these past 30 years suggests a roller coaster ride few of us paid...
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    Examples of statistical edges in sports betting?

    I know enough about tennis (I can identify about 80% of the top 100) that I think I could probably come up with 1 or 2 high quality bets per month. I get the sense that a lot of betters don't know the lower ranked players, and hence there are occasionally real anomalies in the betting. I've read...
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    more or fewer technical traders than before

    Yeah, I know some guy who's really killing it, but he's got some funky method that's hard to understand, totally crazy black box stuff. He pulls like $5000 out of the market every day, like clockwork.
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    more or fewer technical traders than before

    Over at Amazon, a technical analysis book (O'Neill) doesn't show up until the 36th most popular book in investing. http://www.amazon.com/Best-Sellers-Books-Investing/zgbs/books/2665/ref=zg_bs_2665_pg_3?_encoding=UTF8&pg=3 Under exclusively stock market investing, technical analysis is a...
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    more or fewer technical traders than before

    That's what you would think. But I don't see it. Fundamental analysis tells a better story, so that has to explain a lot of it. There's a basic resistance to technical analysis because it doesn't tell a story. There's probably less coverage of technical analysis than there used to be...
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    trading needs a PewDiePie

    I don't know what this is, but it got 50M youtube hits. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRyPjRrjS34
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    more or fewer technical traders than before

    98% of stock commentary on the internet is fundamental, so that would lead you to believe that most investors/traders are fundamentalists. OTOH, there is so much charting/technical info available that there have to be more chartists than before. But I wonder if after the internet bubble there...
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    oil coil, buyers higher

    I don't see how oil doesn't go higher, and take gold with it. The combination of bad news (but bullish for oil) plus the long term bullish chart = oil higher. All the articles I read say "oil not going higher," which suggests people really aren't ready for $150 oil. Certainly the long term...
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    Examples of statistical edges in sports betting?

    Betting the favorite to show can often yield decent returns since the favorite will often pay the same to show and to place. Bettors generally don't go to the track to bet on sure things, hence the anomaly. On the other hand longshots are generally overbet.
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    dojis, a hypothesis

    I don't understand how this paragraph differs from "stock prices follow a random walk." But that's not the assumption of technical analysis. Many charts are hard to distinguish from randomness, but not all. Often when there are embedded sellers or buyers at a certain level (the old high or low)...
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    dojis, a hypothesis

    do share, hoodooman
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    Legit site similar to Elite Trader for real estate/tax lien investing in particular?

    biggerpockets.com ? I know that there are some sharp real estate investors at patrick.net, but that's mostly politics stuff now.
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    And another trading documentary...

    Capitalist pig down another 2% in May, 20% for the year. http://capitalistpig.com/investment-fund/
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    dojis, a hypothesis

    A similar phenomenon occurs in real estate, here is a post from a real estate forum: A seemingly artificial price ceiling for a neighborhood is a very interesting phenomenon in the real estate market. Logically speaking one would assume that if a house is selling for $X than a supperior...
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    dojis, a hypothesis

    In one of Niederhoffer's books he points out that dojis occur far more often than chance would predict. In my judgment, dojis tend to occur at turning points in stocks, fwtw. But here is the hypothesis: dojis occur because a buyer has a mandate to buy UP TO the point at which the stock opened...
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    Thomas Peterffy: Elite Traders, please trade more! We are not making any $$$.

    Petterfy has said his biggest regret is going public; by letting his competitors know how much he was making, it attracted lots of new money to the option market making business (Timber Hill), killing margins.
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    Why is inflation so low?

    increase in asset prices isn't inflation
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    Examples of statistical edges in sports betting?

    two words: correlated parlays
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