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asap Thank you for your comments. Agree 100% with you. I also wouldn't accept 500 points loss from the reached level. But the analysis shows: No short trades for the next time! Calling tops can be a very costly and emotional attempt. I went back to a lower time frame. On the one week...

DAX 1 week 10 points Possible systems DAX10_2 S252 592 595

Next try...

Attached the graphics for EN.

ES 1 week 1 point Possible systems ES1_2 S2x2 S272 7x2 6x5 5x5 Trend is up.

YM 1 week 10 point grid Trend is up. Possible systems YM10_2 S352 6x2 S383 8x3 8x5

EN 1 week 2 point grid Systems are EN2_2 S242 4x2 3x3 5x5 For the S242 system the position is long from 1902 with at trailing stop at 1900 and a profit target of 1906.

ERT one week 1 point grid Systems are RT2_1 S252 5x2 5x5 For the S252 the actual signal is up from 825, target 828 and a stop at 823. All levels are +- one tick (surpassing mode).

artes Vola of the VIX index is normally higher than the vola of the futures. Newletter is available under http://cfe.cboe.com/aboutcfe/volatilitynewsletter.aspx

DAX 4+ years 500 points grid The long term trend is up Breaking the 7,000 would only stop a long position. Breaking 6,500 would reverse trend. In that context any trade from the short side would be unjustified. If that rule is taken on all lower timeframes the odds are greater for a...

RhinoTrader, thank you! You are perfectly right! Trading is mass data statistics. Drawing conclusions from intraday time frames is meaningless because all signal are traded. The paper profit gives a nice impression and motivates to do even a harder work to uncover the structure of the...

NDX 1 year 100 point grid Trend is up Could mean only to take long signal in this timeframe and resolution Next stop 1,800 Reversal point should be lower because of uptrend in the 5 years view (1,700?)

RUT 1 year 20 points Only taking long signal on that timeframe and grid because of uptrend in 5 years timeframe Next long surpassing 840 Nex short below 760

Thank you artes! I've made some analysis about the VIX over the last 3 years (see attached graphics). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VIX 3 years 2 point grid I found a system which I call VIX2_3x3 VIX 2 point grid (=1 unit) Scalp 3...

On 05/16/07 my account had a loss of -40.3% in one Dow session. I underestimated the potential of the DOW to go up. So is the DOW movement the excuse for my loss? I found out, that it was just a mistake of myself in putting on positions in a situation where I had statistically no odds...

opt789, You are right with your warning about selling naked calls (or puts) and it's no longer possible to make money management. A panic can destroy the account and even swap out into other assets. "Worst" case (based on 13 years historical data of the VXO) there would be a peak to, say...

RUT 5 years 100 point grid Trend is up System 1x1 Long from 500 TS is currrently at 700 Below 700 the trend is down ------------------------------------------------------------------- What do you think? What is your assesment?

NDX 5 years 200 point grid Appying a S1x1 system Long from 1,600 TS 1,600 To adapt to the INDU and NDX it could be useful to see short signals surpassing 1,500. The level 1,600 would be only used to close the long position and not entering the short position. That's because of the...

I need to make a correction. The S2x1 schema closes positons surpassing 12,000 at the INDU and surpassing 1,400 at the SPX. The mentioned levels above are already entry levels for short trades.

SPX 5 years 100 point grid Trend is up System 2x1 Long surpassing 1,000 Trailing stop on grid is currently at 1,300 The final consequence would be to enter a buy and hold strategy until 1,300 is surpassed to the downside. In addition the stop would be moved up in 100 point increments on...