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  1. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    That sounds like me on the golf course, good shots are because of skill and the rest are rationalized as bad luck. But I can bore you to death discussing how you are supposed to hit a shot. But you don't have any open positions now, You are waiting for the next crypto winter to put your money...
  2. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    4.5% on a million dollar portfolio. Even less if you have more.
  3. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    ECREE Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. "Carl Sagan" You can color me skeptical.
  4. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    SPY is a pretty common benchmark. If you can't beat that benchmark you might as well buy and hold the ETF. No portfolio, OK, At the start of the year you have a pile of money. At the end of the year how much has the pile grown. The author of the video you called stupid had a 27% return last...
  5. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    So what are your annual returns? Not just for your trades but for the whole portfolio, which I gather spends a lot of time in cash if the market is climbing. You say you don't have a position at this time. SPY is up around 10% YTD. Are you going to be sitting in cash all year if we don't have a...
  6. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    I'm probably overconfidant in my trading skills!! :) You haven't actually put this into practice, have you. In your writing there are a lot of should,could, and if's. If you have put it into practice you must have some examples of real trades and some real performance statistics. Now if you...
  7. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    But you are not sure. Run a back test against any trades you have been successful with and see how it works out.
  8. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    If you keep getting stopped out on the way down and buying in at a lower price you are better off than averaging down.
  9. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    I am wondering if you are accumulating more or getting the best price. I don't care where you enter but lets say you get a chance to average down 3 or 4 times. I'll enter the same time as you with a full position. I'll take a stop 1/2 the distance between your average down entries. If you enter...
  10. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    The question should then be does the OP strategy outperform the index over time? I doubt it for the following reasons. The portfolio has to have a fair amout of cash available to be able to average down. That cash is an underperforming asset while market is going up or moving sideways. At...
  11. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    Stop loss is named wrong. It doesn't stop a loss it guarantees one. I prefer to refer to it as a capital preservation exit. I get to keep most of my capital and have it available in case another opportunity presents itself. I am interested in owning good stocks. Not necessarily a good company...
  12. deaddog

    What a stupid study

    Where are you? Maybe one of us could drop by and take a look
  13. deaddog

    Alex Jacobson

    :D:D:D
  14. deaddog

    Alex Jacobson

    ECREE Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. "Carl Sagan"
  15. deaddog

    Alex Jacobson

    Why?
  16. deaddog

    Alex Jacobson

    That sounds like a huge percentage of ET posters.
  17. deaddog

    Credibility of CANSLIM and William O'Neil

    I can see where marketsmith wouldn't be much help. Canslim holding period is much larger time frame.
  18. deaddog

    The Uncomfortable Truth: 90% of the traders lose.

    Finally an explanation that everyone can understand!!!
  19. deaddog

    Credibility of CANSLIM and William O'Neil

    What was your critetia for entry and exits?
  20. deaddog

    Is the crypto winter over?

    The same reason anyone wants the market to drop. So you can accumulate more shares. Or at least cover your short position at a decent profit. Traders move the market. Listen to the complaints about stop hunters and short sellers. I don't think the @long tin foil hat theory is that unrealistic...
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