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  1. V

    Cutting through the hype

    Threei's post is a case, I think, of the exception proving the rule. In fact you seem to trade very much as I do inasmuch as you determine risk/reward before entry and exit on a stop, a profit objective or a predetermined signal. Do you and your partners teach a trading methodology, or do...
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    Arcsinus law: distinguishing trend from persistency of chance

    I don't think Brandon has missed anything. Random events like coin tossing inevitably produce a standard distribution (bell curve) UNLESS they're non-random and therefore exhibiting trend behavior. In that case they produce a skewed distribution. The extent and persistence of skew are the basis...
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    Cutting through the hype

    Many regulatory authorities actually require that analysts, economists etc. NOT trade on their own account. The rationale is that if you have an emotional stake in a certain position it's difficult or impossible to offer objective analysis and/or advice concerning that security or market...
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    Is this trading system over optimized?

    The results in the example are excellent but the chart showing the price action and trading signals appears to be extremely curve fitted - i.e. parameters uniquely optimized for the local sample period. The proof for this is to backtest with the same parameters for one or more totally dissimilar...
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    Bradley Cycle . . .

    Does there exist any measured performance record for the Bradley Cycle? As I understand it, the Bradley is calculated by summing phase angles of the planetary orbits - i.e. it's basically a simplified astrology exercise. Astrology often correlates tantalizingly with what's actually going on, but...
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