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  1. R

    Apple: A Major Short 11-28-2008

    Is it just me, or is this starting to sound familiar?
  2. R

    Canadian Politics - Beware America you never want to be socialists

    Hey friend, it doesn't matter what country someone's from if that country itself is on Planet F***tard.
  3. R

    Canadian Politics - Beware America you never want to be socialists

    Sure. Other than maintaining balanced budgets, relatively low military expenditures, support for single-payer universal health care, lack of interest in bailing out banks or auto, and relative lack of interest in non-fiscal issues such as abortion and gay marriage, they're just like US...
  4. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    OK. So you're blowing smoke. Res ipsa loquitor. Drop me a line if you change your mind. Cheers.
  5. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    I already know I'm a real trader, and really don't give a rats ass if a bunch of anonymous aliases on ET know it as well. The only incentive for me to do this is if there is an opportunity to make money I otherwise wouldn't make. So are you in or not? Are you willing to actually put up...
  6. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    What's my incentive for going to the trouble? Are you willing to put your own skin in the game - say - both sides put $20k in an escrow account and whoever has the higher balance, say, 3 months from now collects it all?
  7. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    You do not state up front the conditions under which the trade gets closed for a loss. This makes it IMPOSSIBLE to exercise any meaningful risk management. Which makes your "system" useless, as the ability to endure arbitrary "zig zag" requires such enormous de-leveraging that your return on...
  8. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    You don't pay me tuition, it is not my job to fill in the holes in your education. I suggest you find a local college and take a 2-3 course sequence in statistics. If you do that, and then you want to chat, I'll happily oblige. Cheers!
  9. R

    Every major bear is now bullish

    Nice! And he doesn't collect AUM fees or a percentage of profits. :) Let me rephrase - is there any newsletter writer or money manager who is CURRENTLY bearish, but was bullish for the 90s and mid-2000s bull runs? IE, is there any person of note who is calling for lots more down who isn't...
  10. R

    CAnadian tarsands screwed with sub $50 oil?

    Current production is probably ok above $35, but at those prices my understanding is virtually all new development comes to a screeching halt. A number of projects have already been cancelled, a pattern repeating in mining. Commodity bears do quite a number on the Canadian economy.
  11. R

    Every major bear is now bullish

    That works! :)
  12. R

    Every major bear is now bullish

    Is there any current "important" bear who was actually bullish for 1995-2000 or 2003-2007?
  13. R

    Writing Puts and IB

    http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/trading/marginRequirements/margin.php?ib_entity=llc
  14. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    That is as idiotic a statement as has ever been made on ET.
  15. R

    Incredible 77 Full ES points Call/Prediction in less than 12 hours!

    Absolutely not. This quote sums up why... You aren't making calls at all - you're setting up vague situations where you get to declare yourself "right" regardless of what happens. And that's ignoring the "simulated" issue, which is just enormous in and of itself. This fails the Popper...
  16. R

    best books you've read on trading

    Reminiscences of a Stock Operator - Lefevre Manias, Panics and Crashes - Kindleberger Dynamic Hedging - Taleb Devil Take the Hindmost - Chancellor The PDF floating around documenting the Turtles trend-following strategy in excruciating detail - Curtis(?) If what you're looking for...
  17. R

    Every major bear is now bullish

    I like it. Sounds much nicer than "smart ass" or "socratic bitch".
  18. R

    Every major bear is now bullish

    I read his statement. Sure doesn't sound like a guy going out on top. Does anybody have performance results for his fund? They say bear markets don't end until the last bear is taken out on a stretcher. This seems like the clearest signal yet that we're headed for a 5-handle on the Dow.
  19. R

    Breaking: Obama unveils 21st Century New Deal

    Gingrich was given the boot by his own Congressional partymates. He was the pretty much the last politician of note - from either party - to actually take a principled stand on federal budget irresponsibility.
  20. R

    F : Possible Buy-In WTF?

    The bailout is going to happen. Probably more than once. :) If the market is in a generous mood - hell yes - it could be nasty nasty short squeeze. Guess we'll find out Monday morning. :)
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