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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Murray, In my opinion, the Delaware court system is a very valuable advantage to incorporating in that State. Delaware has a vast amount of legal precedent. It has a unique court just for business law, the Chancery Court, the product of which is a library of written opinions. Most of the...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Oh, I understand you now. You are quite right. -segv
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Are you talking about overhedging your deltas when short gamma? -segv
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    What do you suppose you are getting theta for? -segv
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    Reversion to the Mean

    I find all of this pseudo-science extremely nauseating. Do you suppose that you are the first person on earth to ever consider the possibility of mean-reversion in asset returns? http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&lr=&safe=off&q=variance+ratio&btnG=Search Fama, E., and K. French, 1988...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Terrible news for ToS customers. -segv
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Always put on the "hard side" first when you are legging a spread. In this case the hard side is the deferred contract where there is less liquidity. If you are forced to take the market, you want to take the market with the smaller spread. -segv
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I traded into this spread several times yesterday at $1.80-$2.00 small +edge. I do expect a larger move in the VIX in the next few days. -segv
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    Is Trading Ethical?

    [/b] Where is the evidence to support the premise that "90% of traders end up blowing their accounts"? Perhaps it is because a job is that which is most accomodating to those who would seek mediocrity. Faith is a poor substitute for thought; it is the negation of reason. If my own...
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    So you are worried about the slope of the gamma into the last week? -segv
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    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    How does the expectation of Phil's current trade differ than the expectation for the majority of his other credit spread trades? Why the sudden panic, since there is always huge gearing in these trades? I am short puts right down to 1280 and might even have some of the other side of Phil's...
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    Option Income Portfolios

    Poor, poor, poor Theta. She had a hard time getting a date to the prom, too (all of the binge eating). Theta and I know how to dance, however. -segv
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    Naked Iron Condor - can this strategy work?

    There is non-systemic risk. Think outside of the box; what if your GTC order for some reason does not execute? This could be a technology failure, exchange failure, or anything. Calculate your loss assuming a 10-sigma event, and then determine if you will survive to trade another day. If the...
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    Are you running long or short? I assume you are using proxy hedging versus full replication? -segv
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    If you mean by having a complete replication of the index, no I do not. And you are quite correct about the hedge. -segv
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    I will look for it. Suppose that one creates a basket that closely tracks the S&P 500 index future. When the spread between the basket and the index deviates from its mean by some threshold, one could simultaneously buy (sell) the index future and sell (buy) the constituent basket. The...
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    I usually end up long dispersion every month, but not as a result of an intentional dispersion trade at the outset. I would probably use swaps instead. Notwithstanding, I know plenty of successful dispersion people, intentional and unintentional. -segv
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    I forgot this nice paper that directly addresses your question: Option Valuation with Cointegrated Asset prices, Pilska and Duan -segv
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    While correlation measures the short term interdependence between two variables, cointegration attempts to measure the long run equilibrium or common trends. If a is correlated with b, then a tends to increase as b increases. If a is cointegrated with b, then some linear combination of a and b...
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    Index constituent weightings and implied volatilities

    I merely meant that the index arbitragers I know are not completely replicating the index. -segv
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