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Fed meeting this week... I would be afraid to hold positions

The fundamentals are good for Palladium, 1.6 million ounce deficit last year and continuing in deficit this year - although I believe you said that you are not a fundamental investor, so I guess you must be looking at the price action.

Short interest is now over 37%

Quit moving the goal posts and building up straw men to tear down, I never once claimed gold was historically trending with the CAD, my claim is that TODAY the exchange is likely an accurate value reflection; your own central bank admits 20% currency debasement over the last decade on their...

Your central bank doubled its balance sheet, implemented stealth QE debasing your currency, the CAD lost half its value in relation to Gold - a tidy inverse. Since your currency was debased your debt to GDP would not increase, in fact debt was cancelled. All of that said, the glue holding the...

Okay, thanks for this - I actually need to do something like this to hedge a position I don't want to sell, so it may work well for that too. The main Put I think I may focus more on one OTM play as just a bet, I just want to try something that will pay very well.

The rest of my equity will be shorting the same position.

Thanks, for these guidelines, it helps point me in the right direction. Since ATM retains some value, does anyone run a strategy like purchasing 1 ATM position for say 4 consecutive months and constantly roll it over each month selling the nearest one for a loss and buying a new one far out...

The stock is roughly $100 right now and 3 months out 100 contracts are .15 cents each at my predicted price - so $15, At the money would cost me $2.50x100 contracts, how could I make more with ATM? Or do you just think thats a safer play? (Btw, sorry I'm a complete option noob here)

I want to buy a stock Put like 4 months out - as that would be the earliest I could see my prediction of say a 15-25% decline. What is the best strategy to do this for maximum return, like at least 10-20x my money? I'm willing to bet maybe 5% of my equity or more on this.

I just meant that if you believe there is no shortage of dollars, then where do those infinite dollars go? They must go into the S&P, so it seems odd to short the market if that is your belief - unless perhaps you are just looking to profit from a short term correction or such? That was my only...

I was referring specifically to (your central bank) the bank of Canada's balance sheet nearly doubling in size 2008-2015.

If you really believe this why would you "bet the farm" and short he S&P? Seems to be a conflicting view.

Sorry to go against you here, but the Bank of Canada's balance sheet has absolutely exploded since 2008. Canada has reaped the benefits of stealth QE.

Japan and Europe are purchasing Treasuries to debase their currencies against USD, this is causing a shortage of USD (thus dollar rally), both bad signs for the US Stock market.

How long do you ideally like to hold a position?

Why not "bet the farm" and short gold? That sounds like more fun.

But isn't the dollar only rallying due to the end of QE3? If anything it would seem a strong dollar is detrimental to a strong economy and the topped out S&P seems to be reflecting this.

I'm thinking a short lived decline before their hand is forced QE4 kicks in

Does anybody day trade ETFs and ETNs over Futures? I have read there are major tax differences, but can't find any good info.