Search results

Having sat on a rates desk, I can help. Interest rates on a bond are comprised of: real interest rate + risk premias + expected inflation Risk premias include things such as: premia on various debt issuers (credit risk), currency risks, etc. Real interest rates, in a vacuum, would be driven...

please do not say "to the moon" :vomit:

@Deep Pockets, are you on Bloomberg?

what kind of data do you need?

What makes a good trader good is their ability to stay focused on the trade. It makes sense to take a break when you feel distracted. However, based upon your record, I would say you probably have skill. Where you could improve is by figuring out a way to hedge out underlying beta. For example...

Welcome to the site. I’m fairly new here too and some of the folks I find the most value from are @destriero and @Same Lazy Element. There are others too, like @KCalhoun , @Overnight , and @Robert Morse who can be interesting. As you visit more frequently you’ll find the group of traders you...

Are you buying the stock or opening an account? They’re a well respected investment bank. Seen as a larger boutique, they tend to punch above their weight.

vomiting camel, anyone?

But to be fair, did anyone ever take those two seriously?

They still fell ~10% after hours...

This is not new. There are already quite a few betting markets established for informational events. It’s actually quite fun.

Dice you’re generally pretty smart. Do you think that crime rate differentials are due to some kind of genetic predisposition or are they artifacts of social constructs (e.g. limited social mobility)?

Wasn’t he banned or something? He used to msg me on Instagram about trading lol.

A good rule of thumb is that your withdrawal should be capped at 4% of your bankroll. So if you need 100k to sustain yourself, you need about 2.5MM in assets. If you expect to generate returns of 10-20%, then you still need upwards of 2MM. If you only need 50k to survive then 1MM might work.

I love how this thread turned on itself.

Trader parlance. Every trade you make is a bet on an outcome.

Only add to high conviction bets on new information. Momentum trades are low conviction where the information is the slope in the rate of change (accelerating or decelerating). Play tight.

Newbies should spend at least a few months learning the basics of markets, economics, and how to “cover” pairs. I’d do that before making any live trades. Once you get the feel, have a nice dashboard of macro indicators, you can start to test them. E.g. economic performance differentials are...

Biggest mistakes: - not closing positions at the catalyst - not keeping a pipeline of ideas up to date - not tracking what’s going on in the portfolio closely

:D:D:D