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no, it's an honest question. I guess the answer is obvious then.

I hear this term all the time, curious what others think...If anyone cares. Yes... Correlations change, Volatility changes, trends change, price changes etc. In my opinion most markets simply do the same thing over and over and over again. They make the same patters over and over again...

Curious ES... What images of charts do you look at? As time has gone on, people look at so many different types of charts. Mine are so plain vanilla.

My charts are so ugly and basic:

It's funny, another added difficulty to trading that is far overlooked. Once you figure out a "formula" that kind of works... you still have to learn how to EXECUTE. That's easier said than done too. This crap is hard. I'm going to add this, I've been working on a trend reversal system for 8...

I modeled the way I trade after Trout...I believe (not certain) that I trade very similar to his style. He is far better than me because he figured out how to trade size and put up high percentage. My returns are better than his with lower draw downs ( I risk about 1.7% per trade ) and my...

5% per month was my original goal going back about 7 years ago. It took about 5 years and 8000 hours to learn how to do 5% per month on average. I do it with futures, it is possible, but you have to WORK HARDER THAN 95% OF THE PEOPLE ON THIS FORUM, STUDY HARDER THAN A 95% OF THE PEOPLE OUT...

If you are in their shoes, as the fund gets larger...Life becomes pretty simple just collecting the management fee, and if their wall st cronies keep funneling money and collecting their finders fee...everyone is happy minus the investor. But then again, most of the investors are institutions...

Some Theorize that Renaissance is a Ponzi. Their 1 fund for employees, does amazing... but no outside money. Their outside money fund, does good.... good enough to take down HUGE Fees. So the "internal/employee" fund is their marketing engine... so outside investors pump money into their...

Could it simply be, the Larger the CTA, the Lower the Returns? If I ran a 5 million dollar CTA, I would have the best record in the industry. If I ran a 400 Million CTA, My returns would be a hell of a lot less.

yeah, there is a very very famous futures trader who would absolutely be doing that right now. He is retired with 1 Billion +

you never know...I am wrong often. I think though... all time high NEEDS to be retested... step 1

The test of the all time high is just obvious, need to take that out to piss everyone off. Then everyone is going to short, drive this thing UP further, to piss off shorts. All this is.. it's a game designed to piss everyone off. :) That's basically how I trade... Market likes to go to the...

Wait until it blows past the all time high. Market needs to shake out the "obvious shorts" before it pulls back. First shake out is above all time high... then you will see a pull back.. but that pull back is just too obvious. You will then need to see one more test... then big drop 300+...

I've been tracking ATT stock. It is close to making a multi year bottom. I'm looking for a bit more vol on the downside, and then get long between 28 and 30.5....somewhere between then once I see the Institutions take a LARGE stab at it. I don't really care what the difference is between ATT...

I always hand test, probably 8 hours EVERY WEEK.... after years, you become absolutely GIFTED in pattern recognition. And Trading in real time is like hitting a basketball with a baseball bat. If you are going to be an earner, you cant half a$$ this sheet

Kind of like this...

It was just the psychological influences... like "I've made too much money the last three days, I should hold back on the next trade" OR "I've lost too much money this week, I should not take the next entrance" It's just me....but I am improving, that is all that matters. Also my backtest is...

Slippage was a very minor factor. The divergence in returns was because of ME, mistakes I made, not holding long enough, not entering the right set up etc. I largely executed well though for not being a computer. I'm not sure a computer can be programmed like me though. I guess it can, but...

Yes, I have backtested then traded the plan. But after you backtest, you have to first figure out if you can even EXECUTE. Learning to Execute takes time. My system backtested does about 125% annually... when I executed it...it yielded 75% annually. So EXECUTION is a whole other world.