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  1. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Actually, the other guy seemed a bit more of an out of the box type. CY is a tool of Beijing which, if anything, is in devaluation mode. The Soros trade was a devaluation bet, a far different ballgame than revaluation. The UK economy was getting crushed by an overvalued currency and high...
  2. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    BlackRock, Fisher, Schroeder's ... you're confusing serious research with a press release from a gaggle of massive long-only stock managers. I find it insulting you would use such and expect anyone with any sophistication not to laugh out loud.
  3. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Just to clarify. I think AMZN could be another NFLX in that it's set to vaporize a chunk of its owners money! No position ... yet.
  4. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    I'm heavily promiscuous in my research, highly selective in trades. (can't remember who said that) When I make seemingly flip statements about Amazon being another Netflix or Wal-Mart will compound my money at double digits over the next 15 years, I'm not just throwing darts at a board -...
  5. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Horrid PMI number out of China. Under normal conditions it's just a number, but given the stretched conditions of risk markets, we could easily see ES -1% come dawn on the east coast.
  6. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Paulo Santos today on Amazing.com. He's been a pretty vocal bear for awhile ... http://seekingalpha.com/article/449251-taking-issue-with-the-kiva-pump
  7. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Quick response to the squid from al edwards ... http://www.businessinsider.com/albert-edwards-as-good-as-it-gets-2012-3 Starting a position in XCO at $7.26.:cool:
  8. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    U.K. buying back for $1,650 the gold it sold for $250. Outstanding.
  9. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Goldman out with a report the exact opposite of Montier - recommends a big shift out of bonds into equities. http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-the-long-good-buy-the-case-for-equities-2012-3 Hmm, Montier vs. Goldman. Who to trust?
  10. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    BHP didn't warn of a slowdown, just a reduction in growth. Iron ore demand quintupled in China in the last 10 years. BHP sees 2020 demand not a lot higher than demand today. When the entire planet (including every miner in Oz) assumes 10% Chinese growth in perpetuity, this would be a...
  11. R

    Apple to pay dividend to shareholders: Worst decision in years

    Unless they're holding that cash in Brazilian reals, it's likely they're earning next to nothing on it, and what's the difference between Apple earning the risk-free rate or returning the cash to shareholders so they can earn the risk-free rate? They also said, the money is paid out of...
  12. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Just bought my Apple shares back.:D
  13. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    No Hussman this morning? The man is certainly consistent. http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc120319.htm
  14. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Unloaded my Apple premarket at $600. 33% move in 6 weeks on a $500B company. Perfectly healthy. Nothing to see here folks, move along.
  15. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Paul Tudor Jones: "Start selling" Trader: "How much?" PTJ: "Until I tell you to stop."
  16. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    http://money.cnn.com/2012/03/15/technology/amazon-local-deal/index.htm :D :p Reminds me of that line from Wall Street ... "Lectures? What's he giving lectures on? How to lose money?"
  17. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    ECRI maintains recession call. Says season adjustments skewed by financial crisis, making recent headline data better than reality. http://www.businesscycle.com/news_events/news_details/5065#.T2Hv8r2G26A.twitter
  18. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Gonna be another ugly day in Treasurys today. You can have stocks and the economy doing fine or you can have the 10-year at 2%. You can't have both. TBT might outperform Apple in H1 this year. TLT has broken resistance as the tech boys like to say. What we have here is what folks in Latin...
  19. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Other great moments in mag cover history Feb 1999 Not a magazine, but you get the picture. From 2000, now available for $0.01 on Amazon
  20. R

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Okey dokey then
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