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But 70 would break the short term up trend.

I guess the rest of year will be more like Sept, not Aug. of this year. http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$vix&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p06567338250

I think we need NQ 1360 to confirm or help with breakout.

The initial stop is a "911" stop, it will certainly be adjusted, so any r:r calculation at this point is not telling the true story, imo.

Give any market calls a maximum 33.33% credibility and you will be fine. Why 33.33%? Because there are only three price directions.

Two pivot points here, disagree?

Add a stop line and you have a tranding system.

One way to do it is to draw a parallel line to the triangle line, look at the chart...

A triangle or coil is all you need.

Read this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_spread_(option)

Yes you have a chance here, although 103 seems a bit high. Compare the 10yr yield and SPY charts, both in Sept and Oct SPY had its relief rally two days after a big green day in the yield. And we have another big yield up day today... so some upside in SPY early next week is likely. If ES...

What's your view on 30 year futures?

You live in China? The full moon is today, 10/14. Talking about "coincidence", banks closed yesterday holiday and market soared, today banks open and market drops. Who are behide the great 08 crash?

Given this chart here, what is your strategy? (At least you might want to rethink your current trading plan.)

Yesterday I met this 84 year young guy, and there is line in his name card really made me laugh: POLITICIANS AND DIAPERS CHANGE OFTEN, SAME REASON

1. Not now. It's been good for years, and will be good later, but not now. 2. What's your style? Retracement maybe, breakout never.

You may use ATR function, or just cut your leverage in half and double your stop size or something like that.

At this moment, how many S&P500 stocks are in bullish state? Look at this chart. In July 02 bottom, the number is 12%, in Feb 08 it hit 14%. We are sitting at 20% right now, so there are still rooms to drop. Calling bottom here for longer term swing is a bit early. If you have to pick...

Since 1955, Nov an Dec are indeed the best months, avg regturn 1.5%. Sept the worst, -0.5% to -1%.