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What? Are you talking about that indicator just below the chart? That is not predictive in the least... It's a confirmation/compression indicator... It tells me how far price is compressed up/down. The up/down arrows on the chart just indicate that the market is reaching compression...

By upping the number of noise stripping passes I can push a 4th derivative until it is non leading and merely a confirmation indicator. Curious where I learned about some of this stuff originally? If you look around in some advanced statistical analysis of data books you can find some good...

Er... Did you look at the charts? 3rd and 4th derivatives can be configured to be leading indicators with minimal bad signals. See below... 4th derivative leading!

Even though I probably shouldn't give anyone here any hints... People who work on their indicators and know their math and statistics can figure all of this out. Here is what a 1st,2nd,3rd, etc derivative of price is... 1st Derivative Indicator = Indicator Based Upon Price 2nd Derivative...

Hmmm... Very interesting... Coloring the 3rd derivative based upon the slope of the 4th derivative... I will just shelve this and remove it from my charts. I don't use indicators for trade entry/exit... But this is some interesting stuff I never knew about the MACD 4th derivative...

4th Derivative of MACD SPX Daily... Very interesting indeed... Could time some entry quite well... Placing them in the last five minutes before close. (Not like price is going to shift enough in that time to change the signal.) But... Honestly, once you understand the 4th derivative all...

I'm just bored and my mind is wandering... But I'm actually not joking. I have never actually analyzed the 4th derivative of MACD... I coded it in on my custom MACD formula a few minutes ago and the 4th derivative is actually decent when price is oscillating in a range... My main...

I really don't care too much for most 1st derivative indicators. RSI, MACD, Stochastics, etc... MACD is actually a 1st and 2nd derivative indicator. 1st derivative indicators are very lagging generally. 2nd derivative indicators are low lag and excellent for confirmation. 3rd derivative...

You know... Actually that's only half true... I actually have a cult following in some trading chatrooms under different usernames... LoL!!!

That's because I don't like people on here. Yawnn... Most of the time I'm just writing down my targets and rules here so that I remember them and actually not talking to anyone in particular. More of blog posts... But I got bored of maintaining my blog. It gets really boring playing a...

Here is the main reason I think a lot of people around here need to do projections... They start screaming and yelling... "Price is going up day after day.. AHHHHHHH... Or price is going down every day, were going to crash... Ahhhh" Frigging delusional... With price projections you...

This target area is also in agreement with the weekly retracement resistance area approaching at 1406-1422. Man, if we get a chance to short at the highs again with a high volatility range it's going to be a dream come true!!! Whenever the market starts topping out it starts acting like a...

As the previous move only consolidated for three days I am moving to a retrace projection as the usual projection is a bit over-optimistic. If the move had consolidated for a full five days the normal projection would be accurate... But when they variate the market into into short sequence...

So, are you curious why I am talking about positioning short at 1405 and 1410 this week instead of 1416 and 1422?

When price has reached a proportionate target area in a proper proportionate amount of time minor resistance areas then become very important in solving the top accurately.

Now here is where things get more complicated... How do you do a price projection for a cycle that has retraced more than 50%? A move that has retraced more than 60% generally doesn't have the momentum to reach a half or double proportionate amount higher than the previous cycle. You draw...

And here is the same way to draw in the other direction.

Because I am in a particularly good mood I decided to put up a tutorial for the different price projection techniques and where they apply. Lets start with the simple projection for trending markets. This projection is used in a market in which the trade cycles do not retrace more than...

Heres what's silly about bull/bear definitions... Daily bull markets are merely weekly/monthly rally cycles. Hmmm... Let me think about this definition some more... What I more mean by "bull market" is a market in which you can just hold position long and watch the money rake in...

Here is a ten minute chart bull market... The higher the MACD goes the shallower the cyclic dips! Interesting how the trading patterns are always about exactly the same no matter what the timeframe... Daily, Weekly, or even 5m, 10m...