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  1. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Hi JS, I know nothing. This said, I think someone has been accumulating Short orders on Friday and in previous days. the down/up spike at the day open and the subsequent fixed range close to the high of the day is a good indication. So I would lean toward price going down in the coming days...
  2. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Hmm it looks like AAPL is going down soon...
  3. V

    Who is going home long this weekend?

    But hey, what do I know... I just trade what I see.
  4. V

    Who is going home long this weekend?

    Monday first up then possibly down...
  5. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    JS for fake move I ment when you have a quick brief move in one direction that reverse for a longer move, this is a trap move. buy high and sell low is never a good choice IMO... measured moves serves the porpous of moving between levels...
  6. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Hi ED, JS, we know of some times of the day that are particularely important, the Open and what happen in the first few mins and the "Lunch brake" where often price don't move much. then, often there is a move between 10 and 11 and another between 1 and 3 pm. With screen time and observation...
  7. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Hi ED, I think the point is in the way price move, if you can intercept a measured move once it has started you are likely to see the price to keep moving that direction for some time. in a way it is safer to BHASH since the move has already started while to BLASH you need to bet that the price...
  8. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Thanks RN, as always I really enjoy your posts! If only I could get myself to do what needs to be done (on a regular basis) I would be a rich man. Well, it is a long road (at least for me) and while I think I now know something about the Path, I am just beginning to learn how to walk it...
  9. V

    How your start in trading went?

    My experience says that as a new trader you first and foremost need to keep your trades very small and forget about making money but just focus on not losing them. To become a CONSISTENTLY profitable trader you need time, time to understand how the market you trade works, time to figure out how...
  10. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    So, if I understand correctly, if you can spot Pension founds and IB order blocks (T&S could help here) you may be able to profit from this info as Market manipulators (MM? Brokers?) would try to take this money away form the IB and Pension founds (as they enter positions way bigger than retail...
  11. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    P.S: I think MM move price through Brokers...
  12. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Well, Heavy footers, General, Big Money, etc. does not matter they are the ones that move price, us retail traders are a drop of water in the ocean...
  13. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    TO, you checked if the company reported the earnings? big moves like that are usually due to earning of some significant change in the Company (acquisition, approved drug for pharmaceutical etc.). Big money would not do that on their own even if they could (and probably they could do it)
  14. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    TO, for what I understand the Generals are the big financial institutions and the MM...
  15. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    TO, no I mean exactly that, I do not want to compete with the Generals, so I am going to accommodate them and do the opposite of what 90% of the traders will do (at the end the Generals need to make money and to do so they have to trick the traders to go in the wrong direction). Remember one...
  16. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    True, the risk is there, but if you "help" the Generals by doing the opposite of what they are doing (with a grain of salt, of course) you are not competing with them, which is what you never want to do, unless you work on larger TFs (swing).
  17. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Yep, that's where the extra work is required...
  18. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Yes, swim with the flow and not against it, as if you do you'll end up in one of the many traps of the Generals...
  19. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    OS, exactly! It is a long and difficult journey but still a necessary one that requires a total shift of thinking.
  20. V

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Never really noticed before but the Obvious does not seem to be something regarding trading in itself but something that we need to be aware of before trading any market: aware of the obvious pre-requisite
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